NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	4.5 [902]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +9.4%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	1.1 [903]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -19.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	15	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	14	52%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jelani McCoy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	4	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	13	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	17	66%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	12	69%	0.15	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	16	31%	-0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	31.4	15.4	25.4	2.6	24.2	124.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +47.5%

TOR -9.0%

NOH +17.4%

TOR -6.5%

NOH +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	15.5	83.8	106.1	101.6
season	16.2	15.9		98.8	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	14.7	14.8	15.8	14.9
NOH	13.3	14.1	14.6	15.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-21	21	13.2	15.1	-1.86	17.2	14.0	3.19
Vince Carter	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-9	-3	15.8	14.1	1.63	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Michael Bradley	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-16	11	14.0	15.4	-1.40	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Antonio Davis	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-11	1	15.6	13.5	2.08	14.6	13.8	0.75
Rafer Alston	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-14	7	14.4	15.3	-0.92	14.6	14.1	0.50
Alvin Williams	58	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.13	-14	-7	-7	15.4	14.2	1.14	14.4	14.3	0.05
Jelani McCoy	26	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-8	-5	14.1	15.2	-1.05	13.2	14.7	-1.56
Jerome Williams	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-5	-11	15.3	14.2	1.03	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Morris Peterson	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-13	5	14.4	16.4	-2.02	14.7	13.3	1.31
Voshon Lenard	70	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	14.8	15.2	-0.40	13.7	15.8	-2.18

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	2	17	14.1	15.4	-1.22	15.6	11.6	3.91
Jamal Mashburn	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	3	15	14.3	14.4	-0.07	15.6	12.9	2.63
Robert Pack	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	12	-3	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Courtney Alexander	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.21	17	4	13	14.1	14.6	-0.59	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Robert Traylor	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.19	16	5	11	13.9	14.7	-0.84	15.2	14.6	0.61
Jerome Moiso	35	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	5	11	14.2	14.4	-0.27	15.5	14.6	0.89
P.J. Brown	56	57	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	16	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.39	14.9	14.8	0.10
Jamaal Magloire	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	16	-11	14.7	13.9	0.84	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Stacey Augmon	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	17.2	14.0	3.19	12.5	15.2	-2.74
George Lynch	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	16.6	14.2	2.40	12.1	15.1	-3.01
Randy Livingston	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	16.6	14.2	2.40	12.1	15.1	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 88, IND 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ATL 68, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%