NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	3.1 [1124]		MVP	Greg Foster (UTA): +10.8%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.2 [970]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -5.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	59%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.10	13	77%	0.05	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	22	53%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	63%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	29	54%	0.08	2	-0.01	10	70%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	78%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	63%	0.03	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	9	16%	-0.05	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	415.5	2.7	-693.6	18.7	23.7	2.8	42.5	-187.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.0%

UTA +3.5%

UTA +17.5%

UTA +3.2%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	104.5	114.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.6		110.5	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.1		102.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.5	17.0	15.2	14.4	16.0
UTA	15.3	15.0	19.9	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-13	15	20.7	15.7	5.02	17.0	16.0	1.00
Jud Buechler	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-13	15	12.0	17.0	-4.96	11.1	17.3	-6.22
Jason Caffey	11	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-6	1	12.7	16.4	-3.68	10.6	16.9	-6.33
Luc Longley	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-2	-7	16.7	15.5	1.19	17.6	15.2	2.33
Steve Kerr	40	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-11	11	14.0	17.6	-3.55	13.3	18.6	-5.23
Bison Dele	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-15	19	16.6	15.3	1.31	17.9	14.1	3.78
Toni Kukoc	44	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-12	13	15.3	16.6	-1.21	16.1	16.0	0.04
Dennis Rodman	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	6	-23	17.2	14.8	2.38	16.4	15.7	0.75
Ron Harper	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	1	-13	17.0	14.3	2.69	18.6	12.1	6.55
Scottie Pippen	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	0	-11	16.1	15.2	0.88	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Michael Jordan	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.2	14.5	1.75	15.9	16.8	-0.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	87	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-4	19	15.7	22.5	-6.75	16.1	13.5	2.57
Karl Malone	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-4	19	16.3	14.5	1.85	16.1	14.9	1.20
John Stockton	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	15.9	16.7	-0.88	16.1	15.4	0.64
Greg Foster	51	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	14.6	17.9	-3.27	14.3	17.7	-3.33
Bryon Russell	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	8	-5	16.2	15.8	0.37	16.0	15.7	0.31
Chris Morris	30	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	5	1	16.8	15.7	1.13	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Adam Keefe	20	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	4	3	14.0	16.6	-2.62	16.5	15.8	0.73
Greg Ostertag	38	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	9	-7	18.4	14.3	4.13	17.4	14.7	2.62
Howard Eisley	19	18	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	10	-9	16.7	15.9	0.88	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Antoine Carr	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	15	-19	14.5	16.3	-1.85	14.9	16.1	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SAC 74, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 98, PHI 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%