inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement3.2 [1153] MVPHollis Thompson (PHI): +10.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 123 Comeback1.2 [417] LVPJosh Smith (DET): -11.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Singler0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00671%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.074100%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Tony Mitchell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.09-0.010.081262%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Peyton Siva-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.031152%0.022-0.0211100%0.02
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00550%0.011-0.02633%-0.02
Brandon Jennings-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.000.000.031650%-0.022-0.02875%-0.01
Will Bynum-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.19-0.00-0.111122%-0.025-0.061100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.00-0.03825%-0.054-0.0600%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hollis Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.000.03887%0.1100.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.04868%0.093-0.03367%0.01
Henry Sims0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.041457%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.071760%0.0400.001100%0.00
Casper Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03567%0.0200.002100%0.01
Brandon Davies0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.002100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.00-0.041455%0.084-0.071080%0.02
Tony Wroten0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.04643%0.031-0.02250%0.00
Jarvis Varnado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.02853%0.0100.001100%0.00
James Nunnally0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062150%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.02831%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.833.515.725.52.422.7127.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +47.4%
DET -0.1%
DET -5.6%
PHI +5.5%
PHI +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPHINBADETPHINBA
this game15.013.815.197.0124.2105.2
season15.013.7104.798.4
opponent15.015.0108.4108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.416.314.315.115.0
PHI12.711.413.917.613.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Mitchell10100.00-0.500.50-0.093-283114.115.1-1.0319.213.16.05
Gigi Datome10100.00-0.500.50-0.093-283114.115.1-1.0319.213.16.05
Peyton Siva2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-303514.515.2-0.6817.612.55.09
Brandon Jennings2424-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-181114.615.2-0.5912.514.2-1.66
Greg Monroe7067-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-181115.214.60.5513.314.7-1.42
Kyle Singler5554-0.27-0.23-0.050.31-20-5-1514.715.5-0.7812.715.0-2.28
Jonas Jerebko5047-0.27-0.23-0.050.17-15-10-515.914.21.7613.913.60.26
Will Bynum4038-0.28-0.22-0.050.13-14-11-315.314.80.4912.914.3-1.40
Josh Smith5454-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-12-114.016.2-2.1713.214.4-1.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5857-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-11-315.614.31.2714.213.20.98
Andre Drummond5252-0.34-0.16-0.180.42-261-2714.815.3-0.5413.214.3-1.11
Rodney Stuckey5757-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-20-5-1515.614.31.2213.314.4-1.17

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Carter-Williams65650.470.030.43-0.122051513.913.50.3914.416.2-1.85
Thaddeus Young73750.370.130.24-0.191961313.015.9-2.9415.214.50.77
Henry Sims56570.320.180.13-0.041213-113.913.60.2314.815.4-0.59
Hollis Thompson45480.290.210.08-0.091312113.314.1-0.7814.715.4-0.69
Elliot Williams52520.270.230.04-0.20169713.314.2-0.9115.614.41.21
Tony Wroten44440.210.29-0.08-0.231510513.014.4-1.4515.714.51.28
James Anderson46470.200.30-0.09-0.03817-914.513.11.4314.515.5-0.93
Jarvis Varnado43440.180.32-0.13-0.201312113.613.9-0.2315.414.80.59
Brandon Davies27280.150.35-0.19-0.05718-1115.413.22.2214.215.3-1.08
Casper Ware34360.030.47-0.43-0.11520-1513.513.9-0.3916.214.41.85
James Nunnally1090.000.50-0.500.09-328-3119.213.16.0513.415.2-1.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, PHX 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
MIA 74, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
GSW 89, SEA 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%