inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 74 Excitement2.5 [1189] MVPMichael Smith (SAC): +3.8%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback1.0 [1008] LVPMitch Richmond (SAC): -9.8%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.05-0.00-0.071246%0.053-0.0400%0.00
Bobby Hurley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05330%0.0000.00475%0.00
Kevin Gamble-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.08636%0.003-0.02250%0.00
Lionel Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.06230%-0.021-0.00650%-0.01
Billy Owens-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.01656%-0.013-0.06475%-0.00
Tyus Edney-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.010.06955%-0.051-0.03475%-0.00
Olden Polynice-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.0476%-0.081-0.01250%-0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.00-0.041838%-0.063-0.046100%0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.041258%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04771%0.0300.00771%-0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011179%0.095-0.076100%0.01
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01781%0.053-0.03250%-0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.06650%0.022-0.02850%0.00
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.07750%0.012-0.01875%0.01
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04633%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antoine Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.02-0.02833%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.04633%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.822.714.826.42.427.4121.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +30.9%
UTA +5.0%
UTA +5.4%
UTA +9.4%
SAC -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACUTANBASACUTANBA
this game15.614.015.676.3107.1104.4
season15.415.6102.4110.8
opponent16.015.4102.2106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.915.516.115.815.6
UTA11.816.412.715.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Hurley14150.00-0.500.50-0.155-364113.615.9-2.2414.214.00.25
Kevin Gamble2323-0.00-0.500.500.11-4-272315.815.50.3015.513.52.00
Corliss Williamson3939-0.20-0.300.100.42-21-10-1115.515.6-0.1215.612.92.74
Tyus Edney4546-0.22-0.280.070.20-14-17315.415.7-0.2115.712.53.13
Duane Causwell6363-0.25-0.250.010.25-17-14-315.715.40.2713.115.5-2.37
Michael Smith4847-0.26-0.24-0.020.45-24-7-1715.915.20.6315.712.43.25
Olden Polynice5353-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-15-115.715.40.3512.715.5-2.77
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf5252-0.28-0.22-0.070.21-17-14-315.715.40.2112.515.7-3.13
Mitch Richmond5858-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-13-515.515.6-0.1012.316.4-4.11
Lionel Simmons3235-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-8-231514.516.1-1.5314.913.51.35
Billy Owens5859-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-21-10-1116.114.81.2714.113.80.24

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag78770.440.060.37-0.5634-33713.416.4-3.0316.013.72.28
John Stockton56550.430.070.36-0.131912714.213.70.5216.114.81.36
Karl Malone62620.370.130.24-0.312381512.217.1-4.9815.615.50.16
Jeff Hornacek58580.290.210.08-0.241813512.316.4-4.1115.515.6-0.10
Adam Keefe46450.280.220.05-0.161516-116.012.23.7515.715.50.21
Bryon Russell52520.220.28-0.05-0.241615112.216.0-3.7515.515.7-0.21
Chris Morris26260.210.29-0.08-0.291714317.512.74.8316.715.21.50
Antoine Carr25240.130.37-0.24-0.251318-519.612.17.5315.915.50.42
Howard Eisley42420.070.43-0.36-0.281219-713.714.2-0.5214.816.1-1.36
Greg Foster17170.060.44-0.370.15-334-3714.913.81.1514.415.8-1.46
Brooks Thompson14130.000.50-0.500.12-435-3914.413.90.4313.515.9-2.33
Shandon Anderson14140.000.50-0.500.15-536-4114.413.90.4313.615.9-2.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 100, CLE 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
HOU 88, SAS 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
VAN 82, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%