NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	2.5 [1256]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +13.4%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.2 [1071]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -9.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	12	67%	0.05	0	0.00	12	83%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	16	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	0.00	-0.07	22	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.00	0.02	13	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.05	15	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.8	35.4	18.7	26.3	2.8	30.2	145.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.6%

SAS +1.6%

SAS +4.2%

SAS +3.7%

HOU -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	17.6	15.4	100.0	126.7	105.7
season	16.2	16.5		104.6	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		100.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	18.3	13.5	15.0	15.5
SAS	16.6	16.0	20.8	17.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.8	15.8	-3.98	21.8	17.3	4.48
Michael Harris	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.8	15.8	-3.98	21.8	17.3	4.48
Steve Novak	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.8	15.8	-3.98	21.8	17.3	4.48
Charles Hayes	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-20	19	13.9	15.9	-2.02	19.8	17.2	2.63
Dikembe Mutombo	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-16	11	14.2	16.7	-2.50	18.6	16.7	1.88
Bobby Jackson	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-14	7	16.8	14.8	2.03	16.0	18.5	-2.52
Luther Head	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-15	9	15.5	15.6	-0.17	17.8	17.3	0.43
Carl Landry	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-11	1	15.6	15.5	0.12	17.8	17.5	0.34
Shane Battier	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-3	-15	16.6	13.4	3.20	17.2	18.3	-1.10
Tracy McGrady	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-1	-19	15.1	17.0	-1.95	17.4	18.3	-0.88
Luis Scola	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	1	-23	16.6	12.6	3.98	16.5	21.0	-4.52
Rafer Alston	60	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.14	-22	1	-23	15.6	15.4	0.22	17.7	17.4	0.33

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	56	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.25	22	-1	23	16.8	19.1	-2.33	16.4	13.9	2.54
Manu Ginobili	47	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	7	7	17.6	17.6	-0.06	16.8	13.9	2.91
Tim Duncan	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	7	7	17.7	17.4	0.35	15.6	15.4	0.20
Michael Finley	58	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	6	9	16.9	19.0	-2.05	15.8	15.1	0.76
Ime Udoka	24	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	14	-7	18.4	17.3	1.10	15.6	15.5	0.09
Fabricio Oberto	54	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	5	11	17.2	18.2	-0.97	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Bruce Bowen	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	6	9	17.0	18.8	-1.80	15.5	15.6	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	18	-15	18.3	17.0	1.26	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Jacque Vaughn	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	24	-27	18.8	17.0	1.83	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Matt Bonner	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	19	-17	19.7	17.3	2.33	11.7	16.0	-4.34
Damon Stoudamire	6	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	21	-21	22.8	17.2	5.65	10.1	16.0	-5.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 74, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 80, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
NYK 92, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%