inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 80 Excitement2.5 [1256] MVPJosh Childress (ATL): +5.3%
Atlanta Hawks 103 Comeback1.0 [1181] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -9.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.041064%0.011-0.01250%0.00
Toni Kukoc0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Santiago-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01175%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.011100%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Fizer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04933%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02940%-0.021-0.002100%0.01
Desmond Mason-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011443%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Keith Van Horn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.000.09862%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Redd-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.041729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.000.01450%-0.014-0.0700%0.00
Mo Williams-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.021136%-0.014-0.0800%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01767%0.0510.004100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001460%0.042-0.00250%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.00-0.071254%0.073-0.0420%-0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.063100%0.0200.003100%0.00
Jason Collier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03960%0.0200.002100%0.00
Donta Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07350%0.023-0.022100%0.00
Predrag Drobnjak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001159%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.05-0.000.05592%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Obinna Ekezie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.180.00-0.101336%-0.046-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.827.315.724.12.426.3121.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +40.0%
ATL +1.7%
ATL +2.6%
ATL +5.3%
ATL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILATLNBAMILATLNBA
this game15.214.715.582.5108.4104.0
season16.015.6104.498.1
opponent15.115.0108.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.516.016.513.215.2
ATL11.614.616.217.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland1615-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-242511.316.0-4.7115.814.51.25
Toni Kukoc1917-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222112.415.9-3.5815.514.60.95
Daniel Santiago3028-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-252714.415.6-1.2316.913.93.04
Marcus Fizer4341-0.05-0.450.41-0.102-252714.715.7-1.0316.413.52.85
Dan Gadzuric1413-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-191514.615.4-0.7912.415.1-2.74
Mike James4845-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-191514.416.1-1.7715.913.72.25
Desmond Mason6463-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-15716.113.62.4415.313.71.65
Keith Van Horn3030-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-16915.815.00.8015.214.50.71
Mo Williams4950-0.37-0.13-0.240.19-19-4-1516.114.41.7713.715.9-2.25
Zaza Pachulia5354-0.42-0.08-0.340.19-21-2-1915.914.51.4514.215.5-1.26
Joe Smith5454-0.45-0.05-0.410.28-252-2715.714.71.0313.516.4-2.85
Michael Redd6565-0.540.04-0.590.37-318-3916.013.72.2313.517.4-3.83

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith68690.480.020.46-0.081941514.016.7-2.6815.614.51.05
Al Harrington65660.410.090.32-0.2924-12514.814.60.1716.213.13.11
Josh Childress61620.320.180.140.031013-315.313.81.4414.716.1-1.40
Antoine Walker70690.310.190.13-0.241941514.714.8-0.0215.215.5-0.30
Royal Ivey33350.260.240.03-0.00914-513.815.2-1.4213.516.2-2.67
Tyronn Lue62620.240.26-0.03-0.17149515.213.81.4216.213.52.67
Obinna Ekezie20220.200.30-0.10-0.04815-713.215.1-1.9012.816.0-3.14
Predrag Drobnjak48470.170.33-0.160.05419-1515.613.91.6516.014.51.50
Jason Collier27280.130.37-0.23-0.191112-114.414.9-0.4715.915.00.86
Donta Smith2125-0.020.52-0.550.07-326-2915.614.51.0613.315.9-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 88, SAS 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHI 93, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
NYK 92, OKC 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%