NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	6.9 [421]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +9.9%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.0 [669]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -23.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.05	23	62%	0.10	1	-0.07	17	88%	0.06
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.01	0.10	8	62%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	2	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	17	39%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tony Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	11	42%	-0.08	5	-0.16	9	56%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	21	67%	0.18	4	-0.13	3	0%	-0.08
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	31.6	18.8	27.2	2.6	2440.7	2548.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +74.8%

CHH -30.3%

CHH -17.3%

NYK +25.2%

CHH -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	16.2	15.6	102.2	111.1	104.4
season	15.7	15.1		108.0	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.0		98.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.9	15.3	17.0	15.6	15.7
NYK	16.4	16.8	17.2	14.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Smith	15	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-12	17	13.8	16.0	-2.23	16.9	16.0	0.84
Matt Geiger	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-2	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.38	16.7	16.0	0.71
Dell Curry	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	2	-11	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.4	16.1	0.25
Ricky Pierce	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-8	9	15.7	15.4	0.34	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Vlade Divac	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-4	1	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.8	17.6	-1.74
Glen Rice	91	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.7	0.0	15.66	16.2	0.0	16.17
Anthony Mason	84	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	15.5	17.0	-1.45	16.3	14.4	1.88
Tony Delk	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	4	-15	15.8	14.7	1.12	16.1	16.3	-0.14

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	0	7	15.2	18.1	-2.90	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Patrick Ewing	80	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	4	-1	16.4	14.1	2.33	15.8	14.8	0.97
Charles Oakley	53	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	16.7	15.4	1.38	15.7	15.6	0.02
Allan Houston	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.5	16.7	-1.21
Charlie Ward	40	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.3	17.6	-3.27	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Buck Williams	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	2	3	15.1	17.3	-2.26	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Chris Childs	50	53	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	8	-9	17.6	14.3	3.27	15.9	15.3	0.54
Larry Johnson	41	43	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	17.8	14.8	2.96	17.0	14.5	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.6%
SEA 106, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	92.6%