NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	7.4 [340]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +15.3%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	2.0 [651]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -17.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	16	60%	0.10	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	8	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.00	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.05	-0.11	0.06	14	71%	0.08	4	-0.21	3	67%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	18	45%	-0.13	2	-0.04	11	45%	-0.10

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	14	56%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.04	0.05	17	73%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	5	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	60%	0.05	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
John Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	12	52%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	28.5	15.7	23.4	2.4	43.0	142.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -11.3%

NYK +17.1%

NYK +3.0%

NYK +40.5%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.2	112.8	120.4	101.7
season	14.9	16.1		103.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	15.3	14.8	15.2	15.4
NYK	16.5	16.0	15.8	13.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-7	8	16.8	15.0	1.83	16.1	15.2	0.90
Chuck Person	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-12	18	9.9	16.4	-6.54	13.1	15.9	-2.80
Rashard Lewis	24	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.4	0.02	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Brent Barry	77	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-8	10	15.2	16.3	-1.14	15.7	14.2	1.44
Emanual Davis	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-6	6	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Horace Grant	73	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.9	0.65	15.9	13.5	2.41
Jelani McCoy	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	5	-16	17.7	14.5	3.16	15.6	15.4	0.25
Ruben Patterson	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	17.2	13.6	3.62	16.4	14.4	1.99
Vin Baker	86	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-4	2	15.0	19.1	-4.11	15.5	14.4	1.10
Shammond Williams	65	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	2	-10	14.6	17.1	-2.47	14.8	16.7	-1.86

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	15.1	17.1	-2.05	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Marcus Camby	57	59	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	15.8	14.9	0.86	16.1	14.1	2.03
Charlie Ward	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	5	-4	15.4	15.5	-0.03	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Latrell Sprewell	86	86	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	6	-6	15.3	16.9	-1.53	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Kurt Thomas	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	0	6	14.3	15.9	-1.66	16.6	14.8	1.77
Patrick Ewing	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	4	-2	16.1	14.2	1.90	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Chris Childs	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	0	6	16.5	15.0	1.42	15.8	15.2	0.58
Larry Johnson	73	74	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	15.6	14.9	0.63	14.8	17.3	-2.46
John Wallace	2	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	8.0	15.6	-7.60	22.0	15.3	6.71
Chris Dudley	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	12.0	15.6	-3.56	19.0	15.3	3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 99, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.94,0.92,1	92.9%
WAS 98, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.6%
CHH 93, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%