NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	125		Excitement	6.3 [501]		MVP	Chris Paul (PHX): +33.3%
Denver Nuggets	118		Comeback	1.1 [855]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (DEN): -11.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33	0.25	0.10	0.02	19	79%	0.38	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Devin Booker	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	25	56%	0.19	3	-0.11	11	91%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	29%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Jae Crowder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	82%	0.07	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	17	58%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	16	56%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	21	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.06	15	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	34.1	16.4	30.6	3.5	40.4	153.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.2%

PHX +27.5%

PHX +9.1%

DEN -24.9%

DEN -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.3	13.9	14.4	117.9	111.3	111.3
season	14.7	15.0		115.3	116.0
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	14.2	12.6	13.8	13.3
DEN	14.2	13.0	16.9	12.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	82	83	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.20	17	-10	27	13.1	13.8	-0.69	13.4	15.9	-2.55
Jae Crowder	85	87	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-9	25	13.2	13.5	-0.34	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Deandre Ayton	75	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	13.0	13.8	-0.83	14.0	13.7	0.31
Devin Booker	94	93	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-3	13	12.8	16.6	-3.75	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Chris Paul	88	89	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	6	-5	13.7	10.9	2.85	13.3	16.9	-3.53
Cameron Payne	27	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	13.3	13.3	0.01	16.4	13.1	3.34
Dario Saric	28	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	15	-23	14.3	12.9	1.40	14.5	13.7	0.77
Torrey Craig	24	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	16	-25	13.0	13.3	-0.28	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Cameron Johnson	27	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	16	-25	13.6	13.1	0.50	15.6	13.4	2.25

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	18.1	13.4	4.70	13.6	13.2	0.37
Shaquille Harrison	1	0	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	5.0	14.0	-9.00	0.0	13.3	-13.25
Facundo Campazzo	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-8	9	14.7	13.3	1.46	12.9	13.5	-0.57
Michael Porter Jr.	78	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	14.2	13.1	1.10	13.5	12.5	1.00
JaVale McGee	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-12	17	13.8	14.0	-0.21	13.3	13.2	0.11
Austin Rivers	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-6	5	14.7	13.4	1.31	13.1	13.4	-0.33
Will Barton	88	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-9	11	13.3	17.0	-3.72	13.3	12.8	0.51
Nikola Jokic	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	3	-13	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.2	13.3	-0.11
Aaron Gordon	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	7	-21	13.7	14.3	-0.56	13.5	12.7	0.81
Monte Morris	82	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	10	-27	13.1	16.7	-3.61	12.9	14.2	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
DET 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
POR 112, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%