NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	4.9 [852]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +23.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1009]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -11.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.06	0.00	13	78%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	80%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.03	21	53%	0.00	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Ivan McFarlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	14	39%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	32.4	15.8	26.1	1.6	31.4	130.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +56.2%

PHI -9.7%

PHI -10.2%

DET +13.1%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.4	110.2	101.2	104.5
season	16.8	15.5		106.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.4	14.3	15.3	16.7	16.1
PHI	19.5	18.4	16.7	13.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	70	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-5	20	16.6	14.2	2.36	17.3	16.2	1.10
Chauncey Billups	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-4	18	16.2	15.8	0.45	17.0	17.0	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	66	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	17.1	13.0	4.14	17.7	14.9	2.83
Richard Hamilton	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	0	10	17.6	12.6	5.00	17.8	15.2	2.61
Antonio McDyess	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	15.1	16.8	-1.77	18.1	16.2	1.89
Lindsey Hunter	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	11	-12	16.1	16.1	0.00	15.5	18.2	-2.72
Nazr Mohammed	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	9	-8	17.2	15.5	1.68	18.3	16.3	2.00
Carlos Delfino	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	13.8	16.8	-3.07	16.7	17.1	-0.38
Dale Davis	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	9	-8	12.2	16.6	-4.40	20.3	16.6	3.72
Ronald Dupree	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	10.2	16.5	-6.26	6.8	17.6	-10.84
Jason Maxiell	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	10.2	16.5	-6.26	6.8	17.6	-10.84
Ronald Murray	26	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	14.2	16.9	-2.77	15.0	17.9	-2.99

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	6.0	17.3	-11.27	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Lou Williams	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	6.8	17.6	-10.84	10.2	16.5	-6.26
Ivan McFarlin	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	20.3	16.6	3.72	12.2	16.6	-4.40
Bobby Jones	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-11	12	5.7	17.9	-12.20	12.3	16.4	-4.04
Kevin Ollie	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-9	8	18.9	15.5	3.40	18.4	14.3	4.14
Rodney Carney	25	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	17.0	17.0	0.04	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Shavlik Randolph	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-5	0	16.3	18.0	-1.73	17.4	14.4	2.91
Alan Henderson	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	20.5	15.1	5.43	13.2	17.8	-4.58
Samuel Dalembert	53	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	17.5	16.2	1.25	17.4	13.9	3.46
Andre Iguodala	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	17.0	16.9	0.18	17.1	11.8	5.24
Kyle Korver	59	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	16.5	18.1	-1.55	15.1	18.3	-3.22
Willie Green	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	16.6	22.8	-6.26	16.0	17.9	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 129, SEA 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	95.4%
POR 96, LAL 88	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%