NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	118		Excitement	6.1 [519]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +35.5%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	4.2 [397]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): -7.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.26	0.13	0.03	17	88%	0.42	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Paul George	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.02	-0.02	18	71%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.00	9	83%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	7	37%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.00	8	87%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	9	78%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.02	0.07	28	64%	0.24	5	-0.14	13	54%	-0.05
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.5	27.4	15.4	34.6	3.4	34.2	150.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.9%

LAC +12.2%

DAL -17.4%

LAC +7.3%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	14.4	135.6	125.6	111.3
season	14.9	15.0		116.6	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	13.4	17.2	19.1	15.7
DAL	15.8	17.3	19.8	17.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	44	44	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-12	34	17.1	14.3	2.74	18.5	16.6	1.90
Marcus Morris Sr.	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-1	12	14.6	21.0	-6.36	17.9	16.1	1.82
Kawhi Leonard	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	4	2	15.8	15.4	0.38	17.3	20.4	-3.09
Paul George	76	77	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	7	-4	15.4	17.7	-2.28	17.2	20.9	-3.71
Terance Mann	34	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	-8	26	15.0	16.2	-1.26	18.8	16.7	2.07
Reggie Jackson	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	14	-18	15.5	16.4	-0.99	17.4	18.0	-0.66
Nicolas Batum	49	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	3	4	16.0	15.4	0.61	16.7	18.7	-2.01
Patrick Beverley	11	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	7	-4	16.5	15.6	0.82	16.9	17.7	-0.76
Ivica Zubac	19	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	17.9	15.1	2.83	19.0	17.2	1.78

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-9	8	18.5	17.2	1.24	16.0	15.6	0.37
Dwight Powell	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-10	10	20.4	17.4	3.00	16.6	15.7	0.92
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-14	18	16.5	21.8	-5.23	15.1	18.2	-3.03
Luka Doncic	69	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-13	16	16.8	20.6	-3.76	16.2	13.6	2.66
Josh Richardson	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	3	-16	19.8	16.7	3.09	16.7	15.4	1.33
Maxi Kleber	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	17.8	17.0	0.82	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-4	-2	17.4	18.6	-1.18	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Jalen Brunson	37	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	10	-30	19.0	16.5	2.51	16.2	15.4	0.83
Kristaps Porzingis	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	-1	-8	17.2	18.5	-1.24	15.6	16.0	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	92.5%
SEA 104, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.32,0.08,0	92.3%
CHA 98, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.1%