NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	6.9 [445]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +25.0%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.2 [167]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -10.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.22	0.03	-0.00	17	83%	0.33	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Shammond Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	22	65%	0.14	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.09
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	17	65%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	12	60%	0.22	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.0	28.2	15.6	25.1	1.6	33.0	134.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +5.3%

SEA +22.1%

SEA +15.4%

SEA +14.3%

UTA -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.2	115.6	110.3	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.1	15.4	17.6	17.0	16.2
UTA	16.3	17.4	17.6	14.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	34	33	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.06	20	-12	32	16.2	16.2	-0.04	17.8	15.4	2.33
Shammond Williams	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-7	22	15.4	17.8	-2.45	16.4	16.1	0.30
Gary Payton	82	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	16.3	15.4	0.94	16.7	13.3	3.32
Brent Barry	66	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	4	0	16.5	15.4	1.11	16.0	17.2	-1.17
Horace Grant	69	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	11	-14	16.8	14.4	2.35	16.0	17.2	-1.23
Vin Baker	78	76	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	7	-6	15.8	19.2	-3.38	16.0	18.3	-2.25
Ruben Patterson	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	12	-16	17.6	15.2	2.48	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Rashard Lewis	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	14.0	16.9	-2.91	17.1	16.1	1.09
Greg Foster	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	23.0	16.1	6.92	13.0	16.4	-3.39
Chuck Person	0	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	8	-8	0.0	16.2	-16.23	1.0	16.5	-15.49

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	39	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-11	14	15.8	16.7	-0.93	17.1	15.5	1.60
Jacque Vaughn	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	19.5	15.6	3.89	12.4	17.0	-4.60
Jeff Hornacek	55	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-13	18	15.6	17.6	-1.98	17.8	13.1	4.65
Greg Ostertag	23	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	2	-12	19.9	15.0	4.84	13.8	17.0	-3.16
Adam Keefe	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-5	2	14.2	16.7	-2.49	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Howard Eisley	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	2	-12	18.2	14.9	3.28	14.3	17.7	-3.41
Bryon Russell	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-7	6	15.3	20.5	-5.17	16.6	14.8	1.82
Armen Gilliam	24	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	0	-8	17.7	15.8	1.93	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Karl Malone	76	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-10	12	15.4	22.6	-7.24	16.8	12.2	4.62
Quincy Lewis	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	18.2	15.6	2.60	14.4	16.9	-2.53
John Stockton	58	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	15.4	18.2	-2.79	17.2	14.2	2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
LAL 109, CHH 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	91.9%
PHI 78, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	91.8%