NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	5.5 [635]		MVP	James Harden (BKN): +21.6%
Brooklyn Nets	123		Comeback	1.4 [1121]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -12.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Romeo Langford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Grant Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.07	27	55%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.00	17	37%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.27	0.03	0.08	17	76%	0.24	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.03	14	74%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.05	16	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Chiozza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	28.3	15.8	33.2	3.4	32.5	142.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +37.3%

BKN +10.2%

BOS -11.9%

BKN +14.6%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.4	113.5	128.1	111.3
season	14.5	14.1		112.8	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.2	14.5	13.4	12.0	14.3
BKN	13.3	15.5	16.0	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-19	24	11.7	15.4	-3.68	16.7	15.3	1.40
Grant Williams	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-10	6	13.7	14.5	-0.73	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Aaron Nesmith	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	14.3	14.2	0.11	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Romeo Langford	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-7	0	14.5	13.3	1.25	15.7	16.0	-0.39
Payton Pritchard	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-3	-8	13.6	14.7	-1.17	16.2	15.4	0.74
Evan Fournier	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	14.2	14.4	-0.21	16.0	15.1	0.84
Marcus Smart	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	14.4	13.6	0.83	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Tristan Thompson	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	14.8	13.4	1.39	16.3	14.9	1.33
Jayson Tatum	83	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	0	-14	14.9	10.2	4.66	15.3	17.9	-2.52

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.10	23	-9	32	15.1	18.1	-2.98	15.4	10.6	4.76
James Harden	78	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.08	22	-8	30	15.4	17.0	-1.55	14.7	12.3	2.44
Landry Shamet	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	6	2	15.7	15.8	-0.05	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Kevin Durant	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-2	18	15.3	17.1	-1.77	15.1	11.8	3.24
Bruce Brown	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	9	-4	15.5	16.0	-0.42	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Tyler Johnson	22	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	12	-10	15.7	15.7	-0.02	13.1	14.6	-1.54
Nicolas Claxton	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	18	-22	17.8	15.1	2.70	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Joe Harris	71	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	16	-18	15.9	15.2	0.78	14.3	14.2	0.09
Blake Griffin	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	14	-14	15.6	15.8	-0.28	15.3	13.6	1.79
Chris Chiozza	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	25.5	15.5	9.97	3.5	14.5	-10.99
Mike James	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	25.5	15.5	9.97	3.5	14.5	-10.99
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	25.5	15.5	9.97	3.5	14.5	-10.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 95, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%