NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	5.4 [721]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +16.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	1.3 [788]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -20.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	85%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	70%	0.04
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	16	74%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Jason Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.02	0.05	16	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.05	-0.02	14	27%	-0.18	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.04	0.06	33	65%	0.22	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.02	-0.07	22	50%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	28.1	19.7	28.5	3.4	32.7	141.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.9%

SAC -12.2%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +5.1%

SAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.2	112.6	121.9	101.7
season	13.8	15.3		102.9	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		98.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	15.6	13.9	13.2	14.2
LAL	16.0	14.4	16.8	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-16	22	11.6	14.6	-2.98	17.2	15.7	1.47
Lawrence Funderburke	28	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-9	8	15.1	13.8	1.25	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Corliss Williamson	36	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	14.1	14.2	-0.08	17.9	14.9	2.99
Jon Barry	26	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-3	-4	16.8	13.2	3.66	14.2	16.6	-2.38
Tony Delk	42	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-11	12	14.2	14.2	-0.04	14.9	16.9	-2.05
Vlade Divac	67	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-11	12	14.2	14.1	0.17	16.9	13.8	3.05
Scot Pollard	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	3	-16	14.6	14.0	0.56	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Nick Anderson	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-7	4	13.2	16.8	-3.66	16.6	14.2	2.38
Jason Williams	68	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-5	0	13.4	16.3	-2.89	16.5	14.4	2.16
Peja Stojakovic	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	7	-24	15.0	13.5	1.49	14.0	17.7	-3.72
Chris Webber	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	3	-16	14.5	13.8	0.77	16.5	15.2	1.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-7	24	15.9	16.1	-0.12	13.9	15.4	-1.42
Shaquille O'Neal	88	89	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.06	16	-6	22	16.5	9.9	6.64	14.9	3.5	11.41
Ron Harper	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	16.5	14.8	1.72	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	16.5	14.0	2.41	14.1	14.7	-0.68
Derek Fisher	21	21	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	2	6	14.2	16.5	-2.26	14.9	14.0	0.86
Robert Horry	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	8	-6	14.4	17.5	-3.09	14.2	14.1	0.08
A.C. Green	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	6	-2	17.5	14.9	2.53	14.5	13.9	0.59
Brian Shaw	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	15	-20	15.2	16.3	-1.03	15.1	13.8	1.35
John Salley	4	2	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	6.7	16.4	-9.61	5.5	14.4	-8.88
Devean George	4	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	10	-10	8.2	16.3	-8.04	2.5	14.4	-11.94
Rick Fox	27	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	15	-20	16.6	15.7	0.83	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Travis Knight	1	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	19.0	15.9	3.07	2.5	14.4	-11.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
VAN 97, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%