NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	5.0 [725]		MVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): +11.4%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	1.3 [774]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -8.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	22	65%	0.15	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Terence Davis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.02	0.07	14	70%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	13	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	0.06	10	54%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	24.2	14.4	31.4	1.8	29.0	128.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.5%

CHI +5.5%

CHI +17.3%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	14.4	92.2	114.6	111.3
season	14.2	14.5		111.0	109.9
opponent	14.3	14.6		111.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.1	13.7	15.5	13.7	14.5
CHI	11.6	13.0	13.9	15.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Watson	55	58	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	13.9	15.1	-1.22	15.4	11.0	4.33
Jalen Harris	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-14	5	14.0	14.5	-0.52	17.3	13.1	4.22
Yuta Watanabe	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-23	23	13.6	14.6	-0.99	14.3	13.3	0.96
Aron Baynes	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-22	21	14.5	14.5	-0.00	13.8	13.3	0.56
Matt Thomas	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-15	7	14.0	14.6	-0.58	14.2	13.3	0.95
Henry Ellenson	44	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-13	3	14.8	14.2	0.64	13.2	13.7	-0.54
DeAndre' Bembry	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-16	9	14.7	14.3	0.38	11.1	14.7	-3.59
Chris Boucher	57	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-9	-5	14.3	14.7	-0.40	13.5	13.4	0.09
Stanley Johnson	31	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-16	9	15.2	14.2	1.03	12.8	13.8	-0.97
Kyle Lowry	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-8	-7	14.1	15.6	-1.44	13.8	12.5	1.30
Terence Davis	49	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	-1	-21	16.0	13.1	2.87	12.1	14.7	-2.59

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	59	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-1	25	12.6	14.7	-2.13	15.1	13.6	1.47
Zach LaVine	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	7	9	13.6	13.3	0.28	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Otto Porter Jr.	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	8	7	12.7	14.0	-1.31	14.9	14.2	0.72
Wendell Carter Jr.	42	40	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	11	1	11.8	14.6	-2.83	14.9	14.2	0.73
Denzel Valentine	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	14	-5	12.5	14.2	-1.75	14.8	14.3	0.52
Tomas Satoransky	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	20	-17	14.3	12.6	1.65	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Lauri Markkanen	68	69	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	15	-7	14.4	11.8	2.60	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Patrick Williams	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	14	-5	14.5	12.1	2.36	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Thaddeus Young	48	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	13	-3	14.5	12.6	1.90	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Ryan Arcidiacono	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.11	7	16	-9	12.6	13.8	-1.18	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Luke Kornet	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	16.5	13.4	3.07	6.5	14.6	-8.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 77, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%