NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	4.9 [858]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +24.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.7 [957]		LVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): -8.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.23	0.02	0.00	16	82%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.04	18	64%	0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	12	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.00	0.04	33	60%	0.20	3	-0.07	11	64%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	10	56%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	31.3	14.7	29.1	2.7	36.0	140.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -1.6%

CLE +17.4%

CLE +27.5%

CLE +6.4%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	14.7	110.0	119.8	107.5
season	15.1	14.8		106.4	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.2	15.5	15.7	13.7	15.5
CLE	17.0	13.3	15.0	20.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	11	11	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-18	26	9.2	16.4	-7.21	20.6	15.7	4.92
Guerschon Yabusele	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	6.5	15.7	-9.22	22.0	16.2	5.82
Abdel Nader	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	6.5	15.7	-9.22	22.0	16.2	5.82
Semi Ojeleye	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	6.5	15.7	-9.22	22.0	16.2	5.82
Marcus Morris	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.2	16.1	-0.93	17.3	14.7	2.60
Marcus Smart	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.7	-1.78	17.0	14.9	2.10
Aron Baynes	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	1	-12	15.6	15.4	0.18	14.4	17.7	-3.24
Jayson Tatum	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	16.5	11.9	4.58	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Jaylen Brown	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	15.2	16.2	-1.02	16.5	16.0	0.50
Al Horford	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	4	-18	16.9	11.2	5.73	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Terry Rozier	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	2	-14	15.9	13.2	2.76	15.4	21.1	-5.71

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-5	20	16.3	16.2	0.06	15.7	10.3	5.36
Larry Nance Jr.	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	0	10	16.8	15.9	0.95	14.0	16.8	-2.83
Jeff Green	63	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	14.7	19.9	-5.23	15.2	16.1	-0.93
Kyle Korver	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	2	6	18.0	14.5	3.49	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Jordan Clarkson	28	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-1	12	15.2	16.8	-1.63	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Tristan Thompson	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	15.3	17.3	-1.96	16.9	14.3	2.63
JR Smith	70	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	16.9	14.4	2.44	16.0	13.8	2.28
George Hill	63	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	11	-12	16.8	15.2	1.63	16.1	14.2	1.92
Cedi Osman	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	22.0	16.2	5.82	11.0	15.6	-4.56
Kevin Love	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	14	-18	15.7	16.4	-0.71	17.6	15.2	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 80, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	95.6%
UTA 93, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1	95.1%
TOR 86, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.9%