NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.2 [801]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +12.8%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.8 [633]		LVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): -10.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	65%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Trey Lyles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	14	64%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	14	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	14	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	13	74%	0.14	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	29.8	14.8	25.3	2.3	26.6	123.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.2%

DAL +4.7%

UTA -8.1%

DAL +17.1%

DAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	14.9	105.7	114.6	105.1
season	16.3	15.5		104.6	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.8	18.5	13.0	16.4	16.8
DAL	15.4	14.2	16.4	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	7	7	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-14	19	19.7	16.5	3.22	16.0	15.8	0.22
Joe Ingles	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-11	13	15.6	16.9	-1.24	12.6	16.1	-3.49
Trey Burke	43	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-16	23	15.7	17.7	-2.01	17.1	14.7	2.37
Chris Johnson	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	23.5	16.6	6.91	10.5	15.9	-5.42
Jeff Withey	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	17.0	16.7	0.27	8.5	16.1	-7.64
Trevor Booker	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-12	15	15.1	17.4	-2.32	18.3	14.7	3.60
Raul Neto	28	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	1	-11	17.7	16.3	1.47	14.8	16.3	-1.45
Rudy Gobert	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-9	9	16.3	18.2	-1.97	16.1	14.8	1.29
Alec Burks	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.8	16.6	0.20	16.3	15.0	1.31
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	16.5	17.6	-1.11	15.9	15.5	0.41
Derrick Favors	66	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	7	-23	17.2	15.4	1.85	14.9	18.7	-3.82
Rodney Hood	65	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.13	-18	9	-27	17.4	14.8	2.66	15.5	16.7	-1.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	66	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	15.5	16.7	-1.21	17.0	16.0	1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	63	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-6	21	15.7	16.0	-0.34	15.8	18.8	-2.98
Zaza Pachulia	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	15.6	16.5	-0.93	17.6	13.3	4.30
Jose Juan Barea	40	40	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	16.1	15.6	0.55	16.5	16.9	-0.37
Chandler Parsons	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	-5	19	14.6	16.9	-2.31	17.8	15.7	2.13
Raymond Felton	28	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	7	-5	15.0	16.1	-1.11	16.9	16.7	0.20
Wesley Matthews	59	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	9	-9	16.0	15.3	0.70	16.3	17.6	-1.24
Charlie Villanueva	4	5	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	5	-1	17.0	15.7	1.26	19.6	16.6	3.02
Dwight Powell	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.29	-9	18	-27	16.5	15.2	1.28	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Jeremy Evans	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	3.0	15.9	-12.94	14.0	16.8	-2.78
Devin Harris	31	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.23	-13	22	-35	18.0	14.6	3.33	15.6	17.3	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.1%
HOU 80, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 94, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.4%