NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	12.0 [15]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (PHI): +51.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	10.6 [80]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -41.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.04	0.32	0.00	12	62%	0.43	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	56%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.1	0.04	0.08	0.01	17	63%	0.18	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.15
Al Horford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,0.08	-0.03	0.12	0.01	12	46%	0.19	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.07
Semi Ojeleye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	14	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	-0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	11	41%	-0.04	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.00	12	46%	0.55	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.08
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.31	3	-0.26	4	75%	-0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	6%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.04,-0.39	-0.39	-0.02	-0.36	0.01	14	57%	-0.09	4	-0.30	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.42	-0.42	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	26	40%	-0.26	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	33.7	15.4	24.9	2.8	34.2	0.2	17.1	156.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.6%

PHI -32.6%

PHI -19.8%

BOS +52.9%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.8	14.7	98.1	95.1	107.5
season	15.1	13.9		106.4	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	17.1	14.2	15.5	18.5	14.7	16.1
PHI	15.6	13.5	15.8	15.4	12.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	67	68	1.38	-0.88	2.26	1.00	13	-10	23	15.5	17.2	-1.79	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Jayson Tatum	78	77	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.29	24	-21	45	16.4	15.0	1.44	15.8	11.7	4.14
Jaylen Brown	56	55	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.64	3	0	3	15.7	16.5	-0.74	14.5	15.1	-0.63
Al Horford	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	16.5	14.7	1.86	14.9	14.3	0.68
Terry Rozier	85	86	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	6	-9	16.5	14.0	2.53	14.4	16.9	-2.51
Shane Larkin	29	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.26	3	0	3	14.6	16.7	-2.04	14.9	14.7	0.16
Marcus Smart	63	63	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.14	-7	10	-17	16.1	16.0	0.10	15.1	14.2	0.92
Semi Ojeleye	8	8	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.05	-14	17	-31	17.6	16.0	1.67	9.1	15.3	-6.14
Aron Baynes	51	48	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.38	-8	11	-19	15.9	16.3	-0.44	14.9	14.7	0.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	66	69	0.93	-1.43	2.36	0.49	15	-18	33	14.7	14.9	-0.16	16.8	14.7	2.11
Amir Johnson	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	4	-11	18.4	14.6	3.80	17.0	16.0	0.96
Joel Embiid	81	82	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-11	19	15.4	12.6	2.79	15.9	17.0	-1.15
Dario Saric	69	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	7	-17	14.7	15.0	-0.27	16.0	16.2	-0.25
JJ Redick	80	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	0	-3	15.2	13.4	1.80	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Ersan Ilyasova	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.64	6	-9	15	13.8	15.8	-1.99	16.5	15.7	0.72
Robert Covington	51	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.32	-12	9	-21	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.4	16.7	-1.37
Ben Simmons	84	85	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	8	-19	14.6	15.8	-1.23	15.8	17.6	-1.78
T.J. McConnell	29	26	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.84	-1	-2	1	13.6	15.2	-1.62	17.4	15.6	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.5,0.61,0.78,0.66,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.73,0	88.1%
SAS 96, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.73,0	88.0%
SEA 113, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.74,0	87.5%