NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	6.0 [645]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +40.0%
Golden State Warriors	129		Comeback	2.0 [978]		LVP	Deron Williams (CLE): -11.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.29	0.05	0.09	11	109%	0.25	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.02	0.08	30	64%	0.16	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	22	51%	0.04	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Iman Shumpert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Deron Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.28	0.12	-0.00	20	85%	0.46	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	14	71%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	20	62%	0.20	4	-0.09	15	80%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.3	3.3	38.5	16.5	29.2	3.8	29.2	153.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.9%

GSW +6.1%

GSW +6.7%

GSW +4.3%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	14.8	122.4	126.5	107.7
season	14.9	13.5		113.5	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	15.5	17.1	15.1	15.1
GSW	12.1	12.3	15.0	16.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	40	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-12	15	14.1	15.8	-1.71	12.1	14.7	-2.69
Deron Williams	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-11	13	14.0	15.5	-1.57	13.8	13.7	0.10
Iman Shumpert	8	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	0	-9	13.1	15.3	-2.16	11.1	14.0	-2.90
Kyrie Irving	87	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-13	17	15.0	16.2	-1.20	13.9	12.4	1.53
Kyle Korver	37	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	14.2	15.7	-1.53	14.3	13.3	1.00
Tristan Thompson	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.7	14.2	1.53	13.3	14.3	-0.96
JR Smith	83	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	15.7	12.1	3.52	13.1	17.2	-4.12
LeBron James	92	97	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	4	-17	15.2	14.0	1.18	14.0	9.0	4.96
Kevin Love	56	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.09	-23	14	-37	15.9	14.0	1.95	15.4	11.3	4.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	91	89	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-10	29	13.6	14.9	-1.34	15.6	10.1	5.51
Andre Iguodala	81	79	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.14	18	-9	27	13.5	14.4	-0.84	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Kevin Durant	83	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-9	27	14.2	11.6	2.63	15.6	12.7	2.93
David West	24	21	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-7	23	13.0	13.9	-0.94	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Stephen Curry	87	82	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	6	-3	13.2	16.7	-3.54	15.4	13.7	1.63
Klay Thompson	70	70	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	15	-21	14.7	11.5	3.27	14.9	15.7	-0.89
Patrick McCaw	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	12	-15	14.7	13.4	1.26	13.3	15.7	-2.41
Shaun Livingston	24	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	15	-21	11.5	14.4	-2.84	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Matt Barnes	3	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	14	-19	10.7	13.8	-3.14	10.7	15.3	-4.59
Zaza Pachulia	21	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	18	-27	14.4	13.5	0.84	16.2	14.9	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	93.5%
CHI 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
GSW 100, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.8%