NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	5.7 [670]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +17.3%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	2.9 [598]		LVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): -12.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul McPherson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.03	0.05	10	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	24	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Porter	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.06	13	29%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.06	0.01	25	69%	0.25	4	-0.08	9	78%	-0.00
David Vanterpool	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	9	84%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	75%	0.20	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	50%	-0.02	4	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	28.1	15.8	26.1	1.7	29.0	124.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +44.5%

WAS +10.4%

WAS +15.5%

GSW -20.1%

GSW -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	13.9	15.5	101.0	116.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.2		95.3	98.6
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.1	15.2	14.4	15.5	15.0
WAS	15.6	11.1	15.0	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	55	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-19	22	15.2	14.9	0.28	14.9	12.7	2.18
Adonal Foyle	56	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-15	14	14.5	15.8	-1.29	14.7	12.8	1.91
Antawn Jamison	80	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-11	6	14.6	16.7	-2.10	13.8	14.6	-0.82
Chris Porter	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	15.0	15.2	-0.23	15.6	11.2	4.35
Mookie Blaylock	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	14.3	17.5	-3.23	14.3	12.5	1.87
Paul McPherson	35	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-5	-6	16.4	14.3	2.15	12.0	14.9	-2.94
Vonteego Cummings	43	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	2	-20	15.1	15.0	0.05	12.7	14.9	-2.21
Erick Dampier	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-1	-14	15.8	14.5	1.29	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Corie Blount	46	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.00	-20	4	-24	15.9	14.3	1.55	12.6	14.9	-2.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vanterpool	62	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.17	25	-9	34	12.5	16.3	-3.80	14.8	15.4	-0.53
Jahidi White	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-5	26	14.8	11.7	3.11	15.3	14.4	0.92
Michael Smith	67	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	-4	24	13.6	14.5	-0.81	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Richard Hamilton	94	92	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	6	4	14.2	9.8	4.34	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Courtney Alexander	76	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	9	-2	14.6	11.7	2.90	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Laron Profit	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	10	-4	14.1	13.5	0.56	15.9	13.4	2.47
Christian Laettner	40	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.18	-5	21	-26	13.9	13.9	-0.02	15.7	14.6	1.13
Popeye Jones	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.09	-4	20	-24	11.9	14.5	-2.65	14.7	15.2	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, SAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
PHI 81, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%
HOU 102, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1	93.9%