NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	126		Excitement	1.8 [1292]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +7.8%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.1 [425]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -6.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	65%	0.10	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	10	80%	0.05	1	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.04	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	0.00	0.12	14	72%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	8	69%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	14	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	64%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	11	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	10	35%	-0.03	4	-0.03	3	0%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.4	28.5	17.4	29.5	6.3	36.1	146.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.7%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +3.9%

SAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.0	13.5	14.8	121.2	93.4	107.7
season	13.7	15.4		113.2	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.2	13.4	15.2	14.0	14.0
SAS	16.1	13.3	12.0	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.60	37	-10	47	13.8	14.4	-0.66	14.2	11.4	2.77
Patrick Beverley	51	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.68	37	-10	47	13.3	14.7	-1.41	14.5	12.4	2.14
Clint Capela	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.51	30	-3	33	13.7	14.3	-0.63	14.8	12.2	2.58
Trevor Ariza	67	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	9	9	14.2	13.6	0.58	13.5	13.4	0.05
James Harden	67	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	9	9	14.2	13.6	0.58	13.5	13.4	0.05
Eric Gordon	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	13	1	13.6	14.3	-0.67	13.1	13.8	-0.64
Lou Williams	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.38	22	5	17	14.0	14.0	-0.02	13.2	13.7	-0.46
Nene	35	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	22	-17	14.3	13.8	0.43	12.1	14.2	-2.12
Montrezl Harrell	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	35	-43	14.4	13.9	0.46	12.4	13.7	-1.28
Sam Dekker	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	35	-43	14.4	13.9	0.46	12.4	13.7	-1.28
Troy Williams	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	37	-47	14.9	13.8	1.07	11.5	13.7	-2.21
Kyle Wiltjer	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	37	-47	14.9	13.8	1.07	11.5	13.7	-2.21
Bobby Brown	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	37	-47	14.9	13.8	1.07	11.5	13.7	-2.21

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-34	41	12.5	13.7	-1.23	14.5	13.8	0.69
Kyle Anderson	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-29	31	12.7	13.7	-1.07	14.0	14.0	0.04
Dewayne Dedmon	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-22	17	11.2	13.9	-2.72	14.4	13.9	0.48
Davis Bertans	25	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-33	39	12.9	13.6	-0.76	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Manu Ginobili	25	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-20	13	15.4	12.9	2.59	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Jonathon Simmons	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-18	9	12.8	13.9	-1.12	14.3	13.7	0.56
Patty Mills	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.39	-20	-7	-13	12.3	14.1	-1.83	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Pau Gasol	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-16	5	12.4	14.3	-1.87	13.0	14.8	-1.76
Kawhi Leonard	71	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-11	-5	13.3	13.8	-0.50	14.1	13.7	0.38
Tony Parker	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-13	-1	14.8	12.3	2.47	14.7	13.4	1.37
David Lee	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-17	7	14.0	12.7	1.33	14.7	13.0	1.70
Danny Green	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.32	-22	-5	-17	13.6	13.3	0.26	13.7	14.2	-0.45
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.57	-36	9	-45	14.8	12.0	2.82	13.8	14.2	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 118, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
NYK 94, GSW 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 149, CHI 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%