NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	118		Excitement	1.9 [1259]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +8.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	1.0 [595]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -10.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	16	78%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	14	74%	0.08	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Calvin Booth	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	41%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	-0.01	2	-0.01	15	67%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	60%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	12	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	29.0	15.6	27.4	2.5	27.5	128.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.6%

SEA +3.1%

LAC -1.0%

SEA +14.8%

SEA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.7	121.6	90.6	100.5
season	15.6	15.5		105.0	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	16.7	15.5	14.7	15.1
LAC	13.9	17.6	15.8	12.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.47	31	0	31	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.8	11.6	4.22
Brent Barry	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.43	26	5	21	15.0	15.1	-0.03	15.9	13.6	2.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.50	28	3	25	14.9	15.2	-0.29	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Rashard Lewis	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	22	-13	14.9	15.3	-0.48	15.3	14.0	1.29
Ronald Murray	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.39	22	9	13	14.9	15.3	-0.40	13.7	16.0	-2.28
Calvin Booth	29	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.40	22	9	13	16.0	14.6	1.35	16.5	14.0	2.50
Reggie Evans	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	25	-19	15.3	14.9	0.43	14.5	15.0	-0.43
Vitaly Potapenko	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	23	-15	14.4	15.5	-1.06	15.4	14.3	1.09
Luke Ridnour	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	27	-23	15.3	14.7	0.55	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Ansu Sesay	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	29	-27	14.5	15.2	-0.63	11.4	15.5	-4.11
Richie Frahm	14	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	34	-37	14.9	15.1	-0.14	9.8	15.5	-5.67

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-29	27	10.2	15.4	-5.21	14.5	15.1	-0.67
Predrag Drobnjak	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-32	33	16.6	14.4	2.23	16.5	14.7	1.83
Keyon Dooling	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.29	-13	-18	5	14.5	15.0	-0.44	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Chris Kaman	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-23	15	14.5	14.8	-0.29	12.4	15.5	-3.15
Doug Overton	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-21	11	16.1	13.7	2.40	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Quentin Richardson	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	-12	-7	14.8	14.8	-0.02	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Matt Barnes	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.45	-25	-6	-19	15.0	14.5	0.43	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Eddie House	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-10	-11	13.7	16.1	-2.40	15.2	14.9	0.26
Chris Wilcox	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.38	-23	-8	-15	14.5	15.0	-0.51	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Elton Brand	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-19	7	15.4	13.8	1.58	15.6	14.1	1.53
Bobby Simmons	90	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	-8	-15	14.8	15.3	-0.58	15.3	11.9	3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, DEN 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
HOU 126, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SEA 113, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%