NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	2.1 [1251]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (LAC): +5.6%
Denver Nuggets	79		Comeback	1.0 [786]		LVP	Donnell Harvey (DEN): -7.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.12	10	85%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	70%	0.03	3	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	11	54%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	15	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	10	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Trepagnier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	12	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	12	26%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	6	12%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	26.4	16.5	25.4	2.5	28.2	129.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.5%

LAC +1.9%

LAC +9.5%

LAC +4.4%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	15.5	105.2	83.2	101.6
season	15.4	15.7		100.2	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		99.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	15.9	15.4	14.4	15.6
DEN	14.0	14.7	15.2	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	0	22	15.6	15.5	0.12	14.7	14.3	0.40
Lamar Odom	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	3	16	14.9	18.3	-3.43	15.0	12.9	2.09
Corey Maggette	60	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	13	-4	16.1	14.7	1.42	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Andre Miller	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.26	19	3	16	14.4	18.3	-3.90	15.3	12.8	2.53
Chris Wilcox	24	23	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	8	6	13.5	16.3	-2.72	14.7	14.5	0.23
Elton Brand	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	10	2	16.3	14.4	1.96	15.1	13.8	1.29
Keyon Dooling	30	28	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	19	-16	18.3	14.4	3.90	12.8	15.3	-2.53
Marko Jaric	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	12	-2	15.8	15.4	0.46	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Eric Piatkowski	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	16	-10	16.3	15.4	0.87	14.6	14.6	0.07
Sean Rooks	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	20	-18	16.6	15.0	1.65	14.6	14.5	0.08
Wang Zhi-zhi	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	9.2	16.2	-6.91	12.4	14.7	-2.31
Tremaine Fowlkes	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	28	-34	16.9	15.4	1.52	12.2	14.9	-2.75

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Trepagnier	53	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-24	26	14.2	15.1	-0.90	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Chris Andersen	57	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-23	24	13.9	15.5	-1.55	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Devin Brown	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-11	0	14.9	14.4	0.51	16.1	15.2	0.84
Shammond Williams	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-12	2	14.6	14.5	0.13	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Rodney White	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-16	10	14.6	14.5	0.18	16.2	14.8	1.36
Juwan Howard	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-14	6	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.3	14.9	1.37
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	43	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-8	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.53	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Junior Harrington	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-10	-2	14.5	14.6	-0.13	15.7	15.5	0.21
Donnell Harvey	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-4	-14	16.9	13.5	3.36	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Vincent Yarbrough	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-8	-6	14.3	14.7	-0.36	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Marcus Camby	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-2	-18	15.7	14.2	1.43	16.4	15.3	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
SEA 118, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SEA 113, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%