NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	7.3 [399]		MVP	Lou Williams (HOU): +33.0%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	3.7 [591]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): -17.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	61%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	34	55%	0.21	7	-0.20	17	71%	-0.02
Alex Abrines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Norris Cole	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	7	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	17	29%	-0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.19	-0.01	14	65%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	25	51%	0.20	5	-0.13	17	94%	0.07
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	64%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	32.8	16.8	31.2	3.4	48.4	161.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +12.1%

HOU +31.4%

OKC -9.1%

HOU +12.6%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	14.9	14.8	100.0	106.1	107.7
season	14.0	13.7		107.0	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.1	15.2	12.2	14.3	14.1
HOU	17.6	13.6	16.2	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	50	51	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.03	13	-19	32	13.4	14.9	-1.42	16.6	13.2	3.38
Russell Westbrook	84	85	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.30	12	-18	30	13.9	15.5	-1.56	15.5	11.4	4.10
Steven Adams	79	80	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.25	10	-16	26	13.6	16.2	-2.64	15.5	12.6	2.93
Andre Roberson	74	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-10	14	14.1	14.3	-0.19	15.7	12.3	3.39
Enes Kanter	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	14.7	14.1	0.58	9.7	15.4	-5.66
Doug McDermott	30	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	6	-18	15.7	13.5	2.19	12.7	15.8	-3.17
Victor Oladipo	71	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	-4	2	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Alex Abrines	49	45	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.01	-23	17	-40	14.3	14.0	0.29	13.8	15.9	-2.15
Jerami Grant	49	50	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.35	-24	18	-42	15.2	13.1	2.10	13.7	16.2	-2.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	55	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-4	14	14.6	15.4	-0.87	14.3	14.0	0.33
Lou Williams	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-10	26	14.2	16.4	-2.20	15.0	12.2	2.79
Ryan Anderson	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-5	16	15.5	14.4	1.15	14.6	13.7	0.98
Clint Capela	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-1	8	15.6	14.4	1.11	14.4	13.9	0.47
Eric Gordon	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	14.2	17.0	-2.80	14.2	13.9	0.30
Nene	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.6	-1.11	13.9	14.4	-0.47
James Harden	78	77	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	12	-18	15.4	13.2	2.23	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Trevor Ariza	74	73	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	14	-22	15.7	12.7	2.98	13.3	16.6	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	91.9%
UTA 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.92,1	91.8%
LAL 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	91.8%