NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Excitement	9.0 [143]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +32.7%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	6.4 [90]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -26.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.14,0.14	-0.03	0.16	-0.01	7	50%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Randy Foye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.12	-0.03	21	48%	0.15	5	-0.31	6	83%	0.07
Russell Westbrook	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.09,-0.17,-0.33,-0.2	-0.01	-0.20	-0.00	27	56%	0.13	8	-0.33	8	100%	0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.11	0.00	10	100%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	21	59%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Kyle Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	21	39%	-0.10	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.20	-0.01	12	35%	-0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	30.4	18.4	29.6	3.7	37.2	148.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.0%

OKC +16.0%

OKC +44.3%

SAS -61.5%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	16.4	14.9	103.3	96.8	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		111.5	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		97.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.0	13.1	14.4	18.4	14.5
SAS	15.8	15.1	16.2	19.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	45	46	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.39	18	-14	32	16.7	12.4	4.24	17.4	15.5	1.93
Enes Kanter	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-4	12	15.0	13.7	1.27	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Steven Adams	64	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	15.2	12.9	2.26	16.7	15.7	1.04
Kevin Durant	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-3	10	14.4	15.2	-0.77	16.2	18.2	-1.96
Russell Westbrook	77	78	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	8	-12	13.8	18.1	-4.26	16.3	17.1	-0.74
Randy Foye	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	2	0	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.0	17.0	-1.97
Anthony Morrow	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	14.7	14.5	0.17	16.5	16.4	0.06
Nick Collison	2	2	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	12.5	14.5	-2.04	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Serge Ibaka	60	59	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	7	-10	13.5	16.4	-2.87	16.7	16.0	0.76
Andre Roberson	45	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.00	-12	16	-28	13.2	15.7	-2.50	16.5	16.4	0.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	17.3	16.0	1.30	15.9	13.9	1.95
Tim Duncan	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	16.3	16.7	-0.42	13.8	15.5	-1.69
David West	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	5	-14	16.3	16.5	-0.17	19.1	13.0	6.12
Manu Ginobili	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	1	-6	17.2	16.0	1.17	16.1	13.5	2.56
Tony Parker	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-12	20	16.9	15.7	1.20	14.9	13.8	1.09
Kawhi Leonard	77	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-12	20	16.6	15.6	0.98	14.6	14.0	0.61
Kyle Anderson	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	8	-20	15.6	16.6	-0.98	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Patty Mills	32	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.06	-12	8	-20	15.7	16.9	-1.20	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Danny Green	60	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.6	18.0	-2.43	13.4	16.4	-2.94
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-5	6	16.6	15.6	0.98	13.2	20.7	-7.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.51,0.66,0.73,0.86,0.72,0.47,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.26,0	90.0%
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	89.9%
BOS 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.31,0.42,0	89.9%