NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	8.4 [190]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +49.1%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	6.9 [146]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -16.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.49	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.49,0.49	0.13	0.37	0.01	16	83%	0.70	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.01	19	66%	0.21	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	10	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Dale Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	11	35%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	8	33%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	7	93%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.21	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	25	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	26.3	16.4	23.4	1.7	32.1	123.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -1.1%

POR +17.8%

POR +37.0%

DET -6.6%

POR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	14.3	15.6	104.2	103.2	102.3
season	16.0	15.7		105.0	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	13.7	18.6	16.5	15.9
DET	14.0	13.0	14.1	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-1	4	16.5	12.7	3.80	14.3	14.1	0.15
Bonzi Wells	73	71	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	15.7	16.3	-0.56	15.3	11.2	4.05
Ruben Patterson	53	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	2	-2	15.1	16.9	-1.83	12.5	16.4	-3.83
Derek Anderson	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	16.0	15.5	0.48	14.7	13.3	1.37
Scottie Pippen	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	4	-6	16.2	15.1	1.18	14.3	14.1	0.25
Damon Stoudamire	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	3	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.69	13.6	14.6	-1.07
Dale Davis	67	68	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	1	0	16.9	13.6	3.33	14.8	13.0	1.78
Shawn Kemp	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	14.5	16.3	-1.83	13.2	14.6	-1.45
Zach Randolph	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	3	-4	12.7	16.5	-3.80	14.1	14.3	-0.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	39	42	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.12	15	-17	32	13.5	14.8	-1.38	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Zeljko Rebraca	27	25	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-6	10	12.4	15.0	-2.61	17.7	15.2	2.44
Mikki Moore	16	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	13.8	14.4	-0.55	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Michael Curry	37	37	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.15	-2	0	-2	14.6	14.1	0.48	17.0	15.2	1.83
Corliss Williamson	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-1	0	13.0	15.0	-2.00	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Jon Barry	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.59	4	-6	10	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Ben Wallace	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	3	-8	15.0	12.6	2.48	16.1	15.4	0.77
Jerry Stackhouse	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	14.6	13.3	1.28	16.0	15.6	0.33
Clifford Robinson	81	84	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	4	-10	14.4	13.7	0.66	15.9	15.6	0.33
Dana Barros	56	56	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.45	-16	14	-30	14.8	13.5	1.38	16.4	15.1	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	91.6%
MIL 128, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.27,0	91.5%
WAS 105, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.08,0	90.7%