NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	121		Excitement	9.1 [140]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +45.5%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	3.0 [612]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -27.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3	0.19	0.10	-0.00	9	100%	0.34	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.00	23	53%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.07
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.05
Gerald Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	0.00	24	47%	-0.17	5	-0.10	12	100%	0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.32	0.14	-0.00	17	94%	0.46	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.12	0.01	20	66%	0.33	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	42%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	7	54%	0.08	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.09	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.3	37.7	18.5	27.4	3.5	41.2	160.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +65.0%

GSW +6.7%

POR -0.7%

POR -19.9%

POR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	13.0	14.9	113.1	120.2	105.1
season	15.0	13.7		107.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.6		102.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	13.2	14.6	13.8	14.3
GSW	13.0	12.0	13.6	13.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-9	14	11.9	15.0	-3.04	9.8	13.8	-4.01
Ed Davis	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-11	18	14.3	14.3	-0.03	12.6	13.4	-0.85
Maurice Harkless	43	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	0	-4	14.8	14.0	0.86	14.1	12.3	1.82
Gerald Henderson	37	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	1	-6	14.9	14.0	0.86	11.4	13.8	-2.43
Mason Plumlee	50	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	5	-14	14.9	13.8	1.17	14.0	12.1	1.90
Damian Lillard	85	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.1	14.9	-0.77	13.1	12.4	0.66
Al-Farouq Aminu	79	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.2	14.5	-0.27	13.6	11.2	2.38
Allen Crabbe	75	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	2	-8	13.9	15.2	-1.36	12.4	14.3	-1.87
CJ McCollum	96	94	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	4	-12	14.5	12.6	1.85	13.3	10.1	3.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	66	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-8	20	12.4	14.0	-1.61	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Stephen Curry	78	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-6	16	13.3	12.1	1.15	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Shaun Livingston	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	3	-2	11.1	14.3	-3.26	14.0	14.5	-0.42
Klay Thompson	75	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	4	-4	13.5	11.7	1.79	13.9	15.3	-1.34
Draymond Green	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	4	-4	13.2	12.4	0.74	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Marreese Speights	20	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	5	-6	12.2	13.2	-0.90	15.7	14.0	1.70
Harrison Barnes	75	77	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	12	-20	14.0	10.3	3.66	14.6	13.6	0.97
Festus Ezeli	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	12.6	13.2	-0.55	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Anderson Varejao	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	12.1	13.1	-0.97	15.5	14.2	1.29
Leandro Barbosa	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	3	-2	11.8	13.4	-1.51	14.6	14.2	0.37
Andrew Bogut	16	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	15.2	12.6	2.61	16.2	13.9	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.62,0.93,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	92.6%
GSW 103, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.61,0.62,0.89,0.89,0.99,1	91.8%
VAN 75, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	91.8%