inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 95 Excitement7.4 [385] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +62.8%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback3.9 [188] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -17.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.630,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.48,0.630.170.45-0.011975%0.754-0.126100%0.05
Patrick Patterson0.170,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.100.070.004100%0.1700.001100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.030,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.011255%0.072-0.04540%-0.04
Bismack Biyombo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00075%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Norman Powell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04-0.030.000.011745%0.052-0.09887%0.06
Luis Scola-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.05-0.02362%0.044-0.13250%-0.02
DeMarre Carroll-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12-0.05-0.08-0.00930%-0.1200.00250%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.30.300.210.130.042566%0.371-0.088100%0.06
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.012100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.01-0.00747%0.0200.00367%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00753%0.0200.0010%-0.02
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.030.00250%0.041-0.034100%0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00217%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.001142%-0.071-0.042100%0.04
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.011440%-0.055-0.122100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.431.416.529.53.642.9152.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +66.6%
MIA -6.1%
TOR +2.2%
MIA -10.0%
MIA -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.515.714.9106.7101.1105.1
season16.115.5107.2104.5
opponent15.114.8103.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.115.618.114.416.5
MIA15.417.115.315.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan73750.83-0.331.150.4413-92216.616.20.3915.516.7-1.19
DeMarre Carroll70720.79-0.291.080.4113-92216.815.31.5115.914.81.13
Patrick Patterson62640.75-0.251.000.3713-92217.913.34.6615.915.10.84
Kyle Lowry75790.62-0.120.750.398-41216.516.40.1815.913.82.12
Jonas Valanciunas37400.320.180.15-0.0312-82018.215.32.8416.814.72.11
Cory Joseph46430.130.37-0.240.36-812-2015.717.4-1.7214.317.0-2.68
Bismack Biyombo27240.010.49-0.490.12-48-1214.017.6-3.6513.416.5-3.08
Norman Powell109-0.040.54-0.580.05-37-1013.016.9-3.9514.415.8-1.37
Terrence Ross3534-0.410.91-1.32-0.09-1115-2614.917.5-2.6217.114.82.22
Luis Scola1010-0.501.00-1.49-0.12-1317-3018.416.32.1315.115.7-0.65

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts26260.33-0.831.170.108-122017.315.02.2414.917.2-2.24
Gerald Green37370.14-0.640.790.034-81217.914.13.8115.916.9-1.00
Hassan Whiteside1716-0.09-0.410.320.06-51-615.315.8-0.4715.816.7-0.85
Amar'e Stoudemire67-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-40-416.715.61.0617.916.41.47
Goran Dragic5557-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-2015.216.5-1.3216.117.3-1.21
Luol Deng7374-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.415-91414.819.6-4.8916.516.6-0.11
Josh Richardson5756-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-4416.114.91.2615.618.0-2.42
Udonis Haslem3938-0.570.07-0.63-0.48-3-1-215.316.0-0.7418.415.13.39
Dwyane Wade6866-0.620.12-0.74-0.39-84-1215.217.3-2.1117.314.33.03
Joe Johnson7268-0.790.29-1.08-0.35-1511-2615.615.8-0.1916.715.80.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.23,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 99, ORL 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,091.9%
DAL 89, SAC 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.27,091.8%
BKN 102, PHX 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.23,090.6%