NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	114		Excitement	5.8 [660]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +24.4%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.4 [362]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -14.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.10	0.04	19	71%	0.30	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.07
Austin Rivers	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	8	89%	0.22	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.05	-0.04	17	51%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	5	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.10
Matt Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.05	0.07	19	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.4	31.4	16.6	34.3	3.3	35.6	152.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.7%

LAC +4.7%

SAS -4.8%

LAC +3.4%

SAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.1	117.5	108.2	104.2
season	14.6	15.4		110.5	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	16.1	13.0	14.3	14.8
SAS	16.0	15.2	15.3	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	41	40	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-3	15	14.0	15.3	-1.28	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Blake Griffin	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-5	19	14.4	17.9	-3.50	15.0	14.6	0.37
Austin Rivers	37	36	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	2	5	13.9	15.3	-1.32	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Jamal Crawford	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	2	5	13.8	16.3	-2.50	14.1	16.4	-2.24
JJ Redick	75	73	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	7	-5	15.5	12.2	3.34	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Chris Paul	75	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	3	3	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.4	13.1	2.30
Matt Barnes	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	4	1	15.8	13.9	1.85	16.3	13.8	2.51
DeAndre Jordan	63	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	14	-19	15.5	13.3	2.22	15.8	13.4	2.42
Hedo Turkoglu	3	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	19.0	14.6	4.37	14.0	15.0	-0.96

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-8	7	15.0	14.9	0.08	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Cory Joseph	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.08	3	-12	15	7.5	15.1	-7.58	12.3	14.8	-2.51
Jeff Ayres	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	7.5	15.1	-7.58	17.0	14.7	2.28
Aron Baynes	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	7.5	15.1	-7.58	17.0	14.7	2.28
Tiago Splitter	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	16.9	13.8	3.10	15.4	14.4	1.04
Kawhi Leonard	80	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	15.4	12.6	2.77	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Patty Mills	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.3	15.4	-1.14	13.4	15.8	-2.35
Matt Bonner	14	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-10	11	10.6	15.7	-5.09	15.6	14.6	1.03
Tony Parker	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-8	7	15.4	14.3	1.07	15.8	13.3	2.55
Danny Green	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.89	15.3	14.0	1.24
Tim Duncan	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.4	13.5	1.84	15.3	13.1	2.16
Boris Diaw	64	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	2	-13	14.8	15.2	-0.48	13.9	16.2	-2.23
Manu Ginobili	46	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	6	-21	14.9	15.0	-0.07	13.8	15.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.03,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 114, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 110, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	94.1%
HOU 100, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0	94.0%