NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	6.2 [586]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.6%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.1 [1023]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): -8.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	19	58%	0.18	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	17	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	48%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	12	69%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	17	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.14	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	18	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.06	18	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.7	25.3	19.6	25.0	2.8	36.0	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.6%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +1.9%

PHX -5.0%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	13.6	15.5	120.0	109.3	105.7
season	15.9	14.5		108.8	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	15.5	15.8	18.7	16.4
PHX	11.4	15.1	14.2	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	78	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-7	22	16.5	16.1	0.45	13.5	13.9	-0.33
Lamar Odom	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-2	12	15.9	19.8	-3.93	13.9	12.0	1.91
Kobe Bryant	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	16.3	16.7	-0.43	13.5	13.9	-0.36
Steve Blake	34	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-2	12	16.4	16.4	0.01	15.4	12.5	2.92
Matt Barnes	31	34	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	17.2	16.1	1.13	15.2	12.7	2.43
Shannon Brown	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	15.9	16.7	-0.73	14.3	13.3	0.97
Derek Fisher	61	60	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.4	-0.01	12.5	15.4	-2.92
Metta World Peace	75	76	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	12	-16	17.1	14.1	2.95	12.4	18.0	-5.62
Theo Ratliff	17	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	15	-22	16.1	16.5	-0.45	13.9	13.5	0.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-10	12	13.5	13.6	-0.11	16.4	16.4	-0.00
Jason Richardson	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	12.5	15.4	-2.92	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Steve Nash	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	12.5	15.4	-2.92	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Channing Frye	31	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-6	4	15.2	12.8	2.35	17.4	16.0	1.41
Josh Childress	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	15.5	12.8	2.67	17.3	16.1	1.21
Grant Hill	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	12.8	15.5	-2.67	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Robin Lopez	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	12.8	15.2	-2.35	16.0	17.4	-1.41
Goran Dragic	37	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	2	-12	15.4	12.5	2.92	16.4	16.4	0.01
Jared Dudley	37	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	2	-12	15.4	12.5	2.92	16.4	16.4	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	2	-12	13.6	13.5	0.11	16.4	16.4	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.7%
LAC 114, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.03,0,0.02,0,0	94.6%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.0%