inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 94 Excitement7.0 [422] MVPTerrence Jones (HOU): +8.4%
Houston Rockets 103 Comeback1.2 [1080] LVPMonta Ellis (DAL): -15.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.02669%0.031-0.02425%-0.05
Dwight Powell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02858%0.042-0.05887%0.02
Devin Harris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01744%0.011-0.034100%0.02
Jose Juan Barea-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.03-0.071225%-0.073-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.022341%-0.042-0.07875%-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.00520%-0.073-0.0600%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.160,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.050.022647%0.026-0.171100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.060.021154%0.111-0.02633%-0.04
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.01462%0.0600.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.021964%0.176-0.126100%0.02
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.021262%0.124-0.08850%-0.04
Jason Terry0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.07-0.01536%0.052-0.04475%0.03
Nick Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Dorsey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00233%-0.021-0.0220%-0.04
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.00642%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.01831%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.011447%-0.024-0.101040%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.339.516.735.33.536.2160.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +47.2%
HOU +0.7%
HOU +4.6%
DAL -0.8%
DAL -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game13.512.915.187.093.6104.2
season14.614.3107.6105.6
opponent14.915.0103.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL11.713.615.813.013.5
HOU12.711.611.416.312.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Powell220.00-0.500.50-0.031-10116.513.6-7.1214.012.91.08
Greg Smith220.00-0.500.50-0.031-10116.513.6-7.1214.012.91.08
Amar'e Stoudemire2827-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-7513.713.40.2511.313.5-2.22
Charlie Villanueva2426-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-111312.913.7-0.799.813.9-4.10
Devin Harris6364-0.05-0.450.40-0.195-141914.012.81.2611.914.3-2.39
Monta Ellis9497-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-4-5113.413.9-0.4212.814.0-1.21
Al-Farouq Aminu8383-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.19-8-1-713.513.40.0713.212.11.04
Dirk Nowitzki8586-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.10-134-1713.613.10.4613.710.23.44
Tyson Chandler7881-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-8-1-713.613.20.4013.511.42.02
Jose Juan Barea8182-0.670.17-0.84-0.11-1910-2913.413.8-0.4313.810.43.41

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden83820.490.010.480.1113-41712.813.3-0.5313.015.1-2.14
Terrence Jones62590.460.040.420.1990913.911.72.1813.413.6-0.11
Trevor Ariza89850.310.190.130.0881712.614.6-2.0213.414.0-0.59
Dwight Howard87840.300.200.100.1072513.610.63.0013.912.01.92
Jason Terry58560.270.230.050.1063312.313.7-1.4313.613.40.24
Pablo Prigioni48490.220.28-0.060.1627-514.112.12.0013.813.30.52
Corey Brewer48480.200.30-0.100.0845-113.512.50.9614.712.52.27
Josh Smith54540.180.32-0.140.0645-111.414.4-3.0014.013.00.98
Clint Capela17190.060.44-0.380.12-211-1311.113.3-2.1510.414.2-3.79
Nick Johnson220.000.50-0.500.09-312-1514.012.91.086.513.6-7.12
Kostas Papanikolaou220.000.50-0.500.09-312-1514.012.91.086.513.6-7.12
Joey Dorsey220.000.50-0.500.09-312-1514.012.91.086.513.6-7.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.9,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 86, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.98,1,194.9%
GSW 104, IND 1160.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,194.1%
PHX 97, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,193.9%