NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	6.0 [591]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +17.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.2 [495]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -29.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.04	-0.05	13	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	11	48%	-0.05	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Ron Mercer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	12	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.01	15	31%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3	-0.21	-0.10	-0.02	12	23%	-0.22	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	13	79%	0.27	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	17	60%	0.13	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	19	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.7	1.8	33.2	14.4	22.4	1.7	33.2	138.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +60.4%

IND -2.3%

ATL +4.2%

IND -20.0%

ATL +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.5	92.5	106.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.0	16.5	16.5	16.3
ATL	11.7	18.2	14.2	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	2	2	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-15	17	2.5	16.6	-14.08	16.0	14.7	1.34
Jeff Foster	20	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-13	13	14.8	16.7	-1.88	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Reggie Miller	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-9	5	19.2	15.8	3.41	12.2	15.1	-2.90
Jamaal Tinsley	65	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-10	7	15.9	17.1	-1.13	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Erick Strickland	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-4	-5	14.4	16.9	-2.51	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Al Harrington	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	15.7	18.0	-2.37	15.1	13.4	1.71
Brad Miller	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	16.5	15.8	0.76	14.7	14.6	0.15
Ron Mercer	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-7	1	16.6	15.6	1.04	15.3	13.6	1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	73	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.12	-16	3	-19	16.7	14.8	1.88	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Metta World Peace	78	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	5	-23	17.1	12.1	4.94	14.7	14.5	0.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.02	24	-11	35	14.0	16.4	-2.35	16.9	14.7	2.26
Glenn Robinson	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-6	25	14.3	16.5	-2.19	16.7	13.9	2.88
Theo Ratliff	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	5	3	14.4	15.2	-0.80	17.2	14.1	3.11
Dion Glover	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	15.0	14.0	1.05	16.7	15.5	1.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	7	-1	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.9	17.8	-1.82
Ira Newble	32	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	12	-11	14.0	15.0	-1.05	15.5	16.7	-1.28
Darvin Ham	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	10	-7	15.6	14.4	1.18	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Alan Henderson	36	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	8	-3	16.2	13.7	2.55	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Jermaine Jackson	1	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	18.0	14.7	3.35	23.0	16.1	6.87
Dan Dickau	27	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	22	-31	15.3	14.4	0.91	13.5	17.3	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.9,0.99,1,1	94.9%
UTA 85, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%