inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 77 Excitement3.2 [1138] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +19.0%
San Antonio Spurs 112 Comeback1.3 [1010] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -11.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.03-0.00-0.05856%0.043-0.0200%0.00
Steven Adams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.01-0.02564%0.042-0.03425%-0.04
Nick Collison0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.090.000.09876%0.0010.001100%0.00
Andre Roberson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.02757%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.051641%-0.012-0.02560%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.0150%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.120,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.170.00-0.052431%-0.063-0.0600%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.220.020.051195%0.1900.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01479%0.0900.006100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001761%0.084-0.052100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02469%0.051-0.025100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.06669%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.100.00-0.10940%0.034-0.032100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.021250%-0.012-0.024100%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0250%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.73.835.418.530.23.424.6144.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.7%
SAS +18.5%
SAS +2.7%
SAS +5.3%
OKC -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game15.315.415.181.9119.1105.2
season14.415.0107.8109.8
opponent15.015.4101.1102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.314.216.616.115.3
SAS14.516.512.218.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler38380.05-0.550.600.22-6-292315.715.00.7514.316.1-1.78
Derek Fisher39400.02-0.520.540.17-5-302515.715.00.7816.814.32.48
Andre Roberson10100.00-0.500.500.15-5-302516.415.21.2521.514.66.88
Jeremy Lamb2224-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-292316.714.91.8218.214.43.78
Reggie Jackson5252-0.12-0.380.250.23-12-231115.115.5-0.3815.315.4-0.10
Thabo Sefolosha2322-0.18-0.320.140.11-10-251515.315.3-0.0312.616.2-3.60
Kendrick Perkins3332-0.21-0.290.080.29-17-18115.215.3-0.0711.817.2-5.32
Nick Collison2727-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-15-20514.915.4-0.5614.315.8-1.53
Steven Adams6162-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-16-315.415.20.2116.612.93.75
Perry Jones4444-0.40-0.10-0.310.24-22-13-915.115.5-0.3717.613.34.30
Kevin Durant6159-0.45-0.05-0.400.31-26-9-1714.716.3-1.6114.217.3-3.13
Russell Westbrook6060-0.560.06-0.630.37-32-3-2915.015.8-0.7514.516.9-2.40

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker59580.56-0.060.63-0.323052514.616.6-1.9415.015.7-0.75
Tim Duncan59590.56-0.060.63-0.323052514.616.6-1.9414.816.1-1.23
Danny Green57570.50-0.000.50-0.2325101514.516.7-2.1815.514.90.56
Kawhi Leonard32330.310.190.13-0.3623121112.916.6-3.6616.514.71.80
Manu Ginobili41420.250.25-0.01-0.191520-515.415.30.1614.715.8-1.12
Boris Diaw48470.230.27-0.03-0.091124-1316.214.51.7515.115.4-0.32
Tiago Splitter50510.200.30-0.09-0.331817112.718.4-5.7515.614.90.70
Aron Baynes21200.000.50-0.50-0.17629-2318.914.34.5816.115.11.10
Cory Joseph15150.000.50-0.50-0.21728-2120.014.55.5315.915.20.69
Matt Bonner10100.000.50-0.50-0.15530-2521.514.66.8816.415.21.25
Jeff Ayres10100.000.50-0.50-0.15530-2521.514.66.8816.415.21.25
Patty Mills3131-0.020.52-0.54-0.08233-3114.915.6-0.6715.515.20.34
Marco Belinelli3737-0.100.60-0.71-0.05-237-3916.614.52.1414.116.1-2.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 85, DAL 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CHI 75, ATL 920.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CHA 75, DET 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%