inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 85 Excitement3.2 [1166] MVPJerry Stackhouse (DAL): +13.9%
Dallas Mavericks 99 Comeback1.5 [947] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -9.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.08-0.010.06485%0.041-0.03560%-0.01
Jason Williams0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.011044%0.0100.00580%0.01
Shandon Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01654%0.011-0.031100%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00650%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Gary Payton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.07-0.020.101662%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03529%-0.022-0.04714%-0.05
Dwyane Wade-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.011944%-0.024-0.071479%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.011176%0.163-0.023100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.010.041660%0.081-0.011191%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.00383%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00-0.011260%0.094-0.071100%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02050%0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.03367%0.012-0.05367%-0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.021546%0.003-0.04560%-0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.010.041048%-0.031-0.023100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.13.531.320.532.33.435.6160.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +30.2%
DAL +7.3%
DAL +12.5%
MIA -1.4%
DAL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game15.516.915.695.5111.2104.4
season15.516.4106.1109.0
opponent15.615.5102.9102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.017.215.513.515.5
DAL14.716.316.520.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning38380.06-0.560.62-0.3213-274013.616.9-3.3618.215.92.32
Shandon Anderson330.00-0.500.500.000-14147.015.8-8.8019.716.82.91
James Posey5353-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-172015.515.6-0.0817.016.70.27
Gary Payton5253-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-151614.417.1-2.7417.216.30.87
Dwyane Wade7573-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.11-6-8216.013.02.9716.817.2-0.41
Antoine Walker7979-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-7015.416.5-1.1217.313.14.23
Udonis Haslem3737-0.530.03-0.560.14-239-3216.914.52.3315.517.8-2.39
Shaquille O'Neal5151-0.560.06-0.620.23-2713-4016.913.63.3615.918.2-2.32
Jason Williams5758-0.640.14-0.790.06-2410-3415.715.20.5516.617.3-0.67

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Dampier53520.59-0.090.67-0.1525-113616.417.6-1.1816.713.82.99
Dirk Nowitzki74750.53-0.030.55-0.0319-52417.115.51.6716.211.64.67
Adrian Griffin35340.450.050.410.2286217.416.50.9515.015.8-0.82
Josh Howard53540.340.160.19-0.071401416.217.7-1.5015.815.00.83
Jerry Stackhouse56550.300.200.100.0495416.317.7-1.3915.415.6-0.18
Jason Terry76770.280.220.060.1068-217.115.61.4515.615.00.58
Devin Harris42420.150.35-0.19-0.0268-217.816.01.8514.716.2-1.54
DeSagana Diop2223-0.020.52-0.540.25-923-3217.316.70.6215.115.7-0.56
Marquis Daniels1212-0.030.53-0.55-0.03014-1417.216.80.3614.215.7-1.45
Keith Van Horn2221-0.100.60-0.690.14-822-3015.717.2-1.5612.516.4-3.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 77, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
LAL 79, IND 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
WAS 89, UTA 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%