NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	75		Excitement	2.7 [1215]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +17.4%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.4 [788]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -8.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	72%	0.03	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.02	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	13	39%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	48%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.02	0.08	17	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	16	65%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	6	80%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	32.3	17.5	27.8	2.0	31.2	139.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.6%

DET +8.5%

CHA -6.1%

DET +14.8%

CHA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	16.9	15.3	90.4	116.7	106.0
season	16.2	16.8		103.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.9	18.0	22.0	13.8	17.6
DET	14.8	16.3	20.4	16.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	35	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-28	33	14.5	19.9	-5.33	16.9	16.9	0.03
Gerald Henderson	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-30	37	14.4	19.4	-4.99	17.8	16.4	1.41
D.J. Augustin	29	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-26	29	14.1	19.5	-5.36	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Stephen Graham	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-23	23	0.0	17.8	-17.84	0.0	16.9	-16.87
Alexis Ajinca	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-31	39	13.7	18.5	-4.75	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Nazr Mohammed	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-31	39	15.3	18.7	-3.40	16.6	17.0	-0.41
Tyson Chandler	55	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.47	-31	8	-39	19.1	14.8	4.29	17.0	16.6	0.41
Boris Diaw	49	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.24	-25	2	-27	19.5	15.0	4.50	16.9	16.8	0.12
Ronald Murray	51	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	2	-27	19.7	14.4	5.29	16.9	16.8	0.18
Gerald Wallace	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.46	-34	11	-45	18.5	13.7	4.75	16.9	16.6	0.38
Raymond Felton	56	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.36	-31	8	-39	19.6	13.6	5.98	16.8	16.9	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.37	31	-8	39	17.0	16.5	0.50	18.8	14.1	4.73
Charlie Villanueva	53	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-5	33	16.5	17.5	-0.97	19.3	14.9	4.40
Ben Wallace	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	-4	31	16.7	17.1	-0.37	19.3	15.0	4.22
Ben Gordon	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-4	31	16.5	17.5	-0.94	19.1	14.7	4.39
Will Bynum	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	7	9	16.5	17.2	-0.66	16.4	18.7	-2.27
Jonas Jerebko	27	25	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.32	21	2	19	18.9	15.9	2.98	21.5	15.9	5.57
Kwame Brown	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	18.0	16.3	1.71	15.4	18.9	-3.54
Jason Maxiell	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	17.9	16.6	1.37	15.7	18.2	-2.45
Chucky Atkins	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	16.8	16.9	-0.03	13.5	18.3	-4.82
Chris Wilcox	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	16.8	16.9	-0.03	13.5	18.3	-4.82
DaJuan Summers	19	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	34	-45	16.7	16.9	-0.24	13.9	18.8	-4.84
Austin Daye	40	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	30	-37	15.5	18.1	-2.52	15.1	19.9	-4.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
OKC 77, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 75, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%