NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	82		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIA): +20.0%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	2.0 [870]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -21.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	12	83%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	8	25%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.06	-0.03	9	0%	-0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	8	81%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	13	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.08	0.03	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	18	52%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.00	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	27.3	18.0	30.3	3.7	31.3	137.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.5%

MIA +17.9%

BKN -26.6%

MIA +15.6%

BKN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.9	15.1	97.6	109.3	105.2
season	15.7	15.6		105.1	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		105.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.3	17.4	17.2	14.7	16.0
MIA	17.6	15.3	15.5	24.0	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	35	36	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-18	24	14.8	16.8	-2.00	14.7	20.2	-5.55
Andray Blatche	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-13	14	15.4	16.0	-0.64	14.6	18.3	-3.73
Mason Plumlee	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-14	16	15.4	16.2	-0.78	15.2	18.8	-3.52
Shaun Livingston	55	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	15.7	16.4	-0.69	18.2	17.2	1.06
Paul Pierce	57	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.3	15.3	0.93	18.6	16.4	2.22
Mirza Teletovic	43	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-7	2	15.5	16.4	-0.88	18.4	17.3	1.07
Marcus Thornton	34	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	16.4	15.6	0.80	16.9	18.6	-1.72
Kevin Garnett	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.5	15.6	0.93	18.5	17.4	1.04
Joe Johnson	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	16.0	15.7	0.32	18.5	15.6	2.89
Deron Williams	61	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	6	-24	16.5	14.5	1.99	19.4	14.1	5.23

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	50	50	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.14	14	-2	16	18.3	17.4	0.87	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Mario Chalmers	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-5	22	18.5	16.7	1.80	16.6	14.7	1.90
Rashard Lewis	40	38	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-2	16	14.3	21.0	-6.67	16.3	15.7	0.64
Dwyane Wade	62	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	19.6	13.5	6.15	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Chris Bosh	65	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	5	2	18.8	15.1	3.64	15.9	16.2	-0.37
LeBron James	68	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	6	0	18.6	15.3	3.31	16.1	15.4	0.66
Chris Andersen	19	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	10	-8	15.2	18.7	-3.51	15.0	16.3	-1.27
Norris Cole	34	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	16.0	19.1	-3.09	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Shane Battier	34	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	15	-18	17.7	18.0	-0.26	16.9	15.4	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.5%
WAS 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
LAL 97, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%