NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.1 [602]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +16.9%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	2.8 [589]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -16.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Nene	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.04	13	54%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	8	87%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	8	94%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	8	89%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	10	79%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	8	22%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.3	26.9	14.8	26.5	2.3	34.4	127.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.0%

SAS +3.9%

SAS +8.8%

WAS -8.8%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.1	108.2	118.8	104.2
season	15.1	15.4		102.9	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.5	16.2	20.1	16.8
SAS	15.7	18.6	17.3	16.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	33	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-15	21	17.2	16.6	0.56	17.1	17.1	0.03
Paul Pierce	31	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.9	16.8	0.09	17.0	17.1	-0.16
Kris Humphries	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-10	11	18.5	15.6	2.85	17.4	16.9	0.51
Marcin Gortat	60	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	15.2	20.6	-5.31	16.8	17.8	-1.03
Andre Miller	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	21.6	15.5	6.02	19.2	16.5	2.69
John Wall	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	15.5	21.6	-6.02	16.5	19.2	-2.69
Nene	45	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	0	-9	16.4	17.2	-0.78	17.0	17.2	-0.15
Kevin Seraphin	25	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	20.6	15.2	5.31	17.8	16.8	1.03
Bradley Beal	63	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	2	-13	15.7	19.9	-4.12	16.6	18.2	-1.64
Otto Porter	48	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	17.1	16.5	0.58	17.6	16.4	1.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	16.7	18.0	-1.26	16.5	17.6	-1.10
Tim Duncan	57	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	17.2	16.9	0.32	16.5	17.4	-0.96
Marco Belinelli	43	42	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	18.0	16.1	1.88	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Danny Green	61	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	16.9	17.6	-0.71	17.9	14.5	3.36
Boris Diaw	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	17.9	16.2	1.70	17.9	15.7	2.17
Manu Ginobili	53	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	16.4	18.2	-1.79	15.7	18.8	-3.02
Tiago Splitter	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	7	-5	16.4	18.0	-1.63	17.0	16.5	0.54
Matt Bonner	3	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	6	-3	16.3	17.1	-0.76	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Patty Mills	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	12	-15	18.0	16.7	1.26	17.6	16.5	1.10
Aron Baynes	14	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	11	-13	17.1	17.1	0.09	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Kyle Anderson	17	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	15	-21	17.1	17.1	0.06	15.6	17.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
BKN 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.5%
BOS 108, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	93.5%