NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	80		Excitement	5.7 [654]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +12.0%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	2.2 [1092]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -16.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Derek Harper	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Ed O'Bannon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	47%	-0.09	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	11	59%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	20	58%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.04	8	78%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	20	40%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	23.5	15.8	23.0	2.6	29.2	120.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.8%

DAL -0.8%

HOU +14.6%

HOU +3.1%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.6	93.0	101.1	104.4
season	15.9	15.5		99.1	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.1	20.0	18.7	15.8	16.6
HOU	14.1	17.9	15.6	19.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid Reeves	31	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-10	11	17.5	16.1	1.49	18.1	15.6	2.44
Martin Muursepp	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	0.0	16.6	-16.59	25.0	16.4	8.59
Samaki Walker	20	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-8	7	16.8	16.5	0.33	14.8	17.1	-2.26
Ed O'Bannon	22	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	17.3	16.4	0.91	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Greg Dreiling	34	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-10	11	14.2	18.2	-4.00	13.8	18.5	-4.66
Shawn Bradley	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	18.1	14.8	3.29	18.5	14.4	4.12
Robert Pack	32	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	14.6	17.8	-3.23	13.5	18.4	-4.91
Derek Harper	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-6	3	16.3	16.8	-0.52	16.3	16.7	-0.39
Michael Finley	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	16.1	18.1	-1.99	16.9	15.5	1.40
Erick Strickland	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	1	-11	17.3	13.7	3.57	17.4	13.1	4.27
A.C. Green	70	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	3	-15	16.9	15.1	1.80	17.2	14.3	2.86

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	17.1	15.0	2.11	16.7	16.4	0.31
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	17.3	13.7	3.54	17.1	14.5	2.57
Randy Livingston	43	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	5	-1	16.4	16.6	-0.14	15.4	17.6	-2.16
Kevin Willis	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	17.0	14.7	2.34	16.7	16.2	0.45
Matt Bullard	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	3	3	16.2	16.8	-0.60	17.0	16.1	0.92
Mario Elie	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	5	-1	16.6	15.9	0.69	16.6	16.4	0.20
Sam Mack	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	15.7	17.0	-1.32	17.1	16.2	0.93
Othella Harrington	29	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	14	-19	14.2	17.6	-3.39	15.6	17.0	-1.46
Charles Barkley	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	6	-3	14.2	16.8	-2.61	14.9	16.8	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	93.6%
WAS 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.6%
MIA 80, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	93.2%