inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Excitement4.1 [997] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +17.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback2.7 [872] LVPMarc Gasol (MEM): -5.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.00-0.031064%0.112-0.02580%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.05863%0.011-0.003100%0.00
Mike Conley0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.011461%0.114-0.10580%-0.00
Jamaal Franklin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07575%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011150%0.002-0.02887%0.02
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01350%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.060,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.05-0.032047%-0.003-0.051191%0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.030.011879%0.275-0.09667%-0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.01389%0.0710.00367%-0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.12-0.000.066100%0.092-0.034100%0.02
Caron Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.031052%0.072-0.01989%0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.010.04875%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.002100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01450%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041671%0.137-0.13683%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.23.435.918.831.11.831.6153.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +49.7%
MEM -4.3%
OKC +10.3%
MEM -6.8%
OKC +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game15.813.915.1113.5122.4105.2
season16.414.4104.5107.8
opponent15.415.2102.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.017.716.215.415.8
OKC13.111.113.818.013.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Franklin220.00-0.500.50-0.155-162120.015.74.2613.013.9-0.90
Ed Davis220.00-0.500.50-0.155-162120.015.74.2613.013.9-0.90
Tayshaun Prince3033-0.02-0.480.460.13-5-6116.015.80.2414.313.60.69
Kosta Koufos1515-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-111115.116.0-0.9111.714.3-2.61
Beno Udrih3535-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-121314.916.4-1.5414.913.31.57
Jon Leuer3637-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-10916.215.60.5315.413.02.41
Mike Miller6061-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-10-1-915.616.2-0.5313.015.4-2.41
Mike Conley7173-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.10-110-1115.915.70.1513.814.0-0.16
Tony Allen7272-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.17-10-1-915.816.0-0.2214.113.30.72
Marc Gasol8183-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.14-110-1116.015.10.9114.311.72.61
Courtney Lee7677-0.520.02-0.530.01-187-2516.015.10.8613.116.6-3.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler84820.51-0.010.530.0416-52114.112.51.6115.816.3-0.53
Russell Westbrook80790.51-0.010.52-0.1422-113313.017.6-4.5715.915.50.37
Kevin Durant87860.490.010.48-0.0920-92913.616.0-2.3915.915.50.37
Serge Ibaka61600.470.030.44-0.1822-113312.316.4-4.1015.815.9-0.13
Kendrick Perkins20210.370.130.25-0.0113-21513.114.1-0.9115.515.9-0.46
Derek Fisher50470.150.35-0.210.29-516-2114.613.11.5615.915.80.08
Reggie Jackson51500.090.41-0.320.09011-1114.812.82.0116.215.40.85
Jeremy Lamb550.000.50-0.500.26-920-2918.213.64.5514.415.9-1.51
Perry Jones220.000.50-0.500.15-516-2113.013.9-0.9020.015.74.26
Steven Adams5048-0.090.59-0.690.46-1930-4915.312.42.9915.516.1-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 87, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
DEN 90, NYK 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
MEM 88, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%