NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	4.3 [957]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +15.4%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	2.4 [535]		LVP	JJ Hickson (DEN): -10.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.00	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	17	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	21	69%	0.22	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	80%	0.10	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	75%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	0.05	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	31.3	16.4	27.3	2.4	30.6	137.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.3%

DEN -2.3%

DEN -1.1%

NYK +9.4%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	15.1	87.4	114.7	105.2
season	14.0	16.0		104.5	106.4
opponent	15.4	14.9		107.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.0	13.7	12.3	13.2	13.5
NYK	13.2	14.6	16.0	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	24	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.27	-10	-17	7	13.1	13.7	-0.60	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Darrell Arthur	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-24	21	13.1	13.7	-0.60	15.8	14.3	1.51
Quincy Miller	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.37	-15	-12	-3	12.4	14.1	-1.78	14.9	14.4	0.45
Anthony Randolph	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-19	11	11.5	14.0	-2.54	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Timofey Mozgov	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.28	-13	-14	1	14.0	13.3	0.73	15.6	14.1	1.50
Evan Fournier	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-15	3	11.5	15.2	-3.77	14.3	14.7	-0.38
JJ Hickson	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-22	17	13.9	13.1	0.77	14.7	14.4	0.26
Ty Lawson	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-11	-5	14.0	11.9	2.06	15.2	12.1	3.04
Wilson Chandler	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-15	3	14.1	12.4	1.78	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Randy Foye	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-14	1	14.1	12.6	1.52	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Kenneth Faried	63	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.32	-28	1	-29	14.3	12.3	2.07	13.8	15.7	-1.88

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	36	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	9	9	13.6	15.1	-1.55	13.8	13.4	0.46
Carmelo Anthony	68	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	9	9	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.1	12.4	1.65
Tyson Chandler	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	12	3	14.3	14.8	-0.47	14.2	12.9	1.31
Raymond Felton	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	11	5	14.8	14.3	0.52	14.1	12.7	1.39
Pablo Prigioni	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	9	9	15.4	13.8	1.61	13.4	13.7	-0.33
Jeremy Tyler	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.36	18	9	9	14.9	14.3	0.57	13.7	13.4	0.33
J.R. Smith	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	24	-21	15.9	13.3	2.54	12.9	14.1	-1.14
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	65	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.35	13	14	-1	14.4	14.8	-0.38	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Metta World Peace	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	21	-15	11.8	15.0	-3.23	11.9	13.8	-1.96
Cole Aldrich	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	21	-15	11.8	15.0	-3.23	11.9	13.8	-1.96
Amar'e Stoudemire	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	25	-23	16.3	13.5	2.87	13.1	13.8	-0.67
Toure Murry	23	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	25	-23	12.6	15.1	-2.57	12.8	13.8	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 109, OKC 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%