NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	6.2 [585]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (BKN): +17.5%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.7 [426]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -20.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	8	77%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	63%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.02	25	47%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	83%	0.17	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.05
Mirza Teletovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.03	5	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	12	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	12	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.2	-0.20	0.03	-0.20	0.03	19	54%	-0.12	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.6	38.6	18.7	28.6	2.8	48.2	168.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.2%

TOR -3.0%

BKN +17.8%

TOR -8.0%

BKN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.1	119.5	119.8	105.2
season	15.7	15.9		105.1	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.3	16.3	17.0	19.5	17.6
TOR	15.5	18.0	15.7	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	35	35	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-16	33	19.0	16.6	2.38	17.5	14.5	2.91
Joe Johnson	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	3	-5	17.5	18.4	-0.90	15.7	16.6	-0.92
Kevin Garnett	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-6	13	16.4	18.9	-2.49	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Paul Pierce	45	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	0	1	16.9	18.2	-1.28	15.0	16.6	-1.66
Deron Williams	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.50	-5	6	-11	18.9	15.2	3.79	15.2	16.8	-1.60
Mirza Teletovic	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-3	7	19.0	16.3	2.73	16.6	15.0	1.66
Alan Anderson	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.51	-13	14	-27	16.1	19.5	-3.37	14.9	16.8	-1.85
Andray Blatche	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	8	-15	18.3	17.1	1.15	16.2	15.5	0.67
Mason Plumlee	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	0	1	21.4	17.2	4.21	17.7	15.6	2.16
Shaun Livingston	35	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	-3	7	15.9	18.6	-2.69	16.3	15.4	0.88
Andrei Kirilenko	6	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	3	-5	13.3	17.9	-4.53	14.7	15.8	-1.03

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	1	0	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	1	-3	7.0	15.8	-8.84	0.0	17.6	-17.55
Charles Hayes	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-5	9	15.6	15.8	-0.21	17.5	17.6	-0.06
John Salmons	11	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	9	-19	19.5	15.2	4.37	17.2	17.6	-0.37
Amir Johnson	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	5	-11	17.6	14.3	3.26	17.6	17.5	0.16
Patrick Patterson	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.59	15	-16	31	14.5	19.1	-4.64	17.9	16.8	1.05
Terrence Ross	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-1	1	14.8	17.4	-2.56	16.8	19.0	-2.22
Greivis Vasquez	45	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.59	8	-9	17	14.6	17.0	-2.38	17.9	17.1	0.79
DeMar DeRozan	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-3	5	15.7	16.6	-0.92	17.5	18.4	-0.90
Kyle Lowry	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.67	7	-8	15	16.1	13.8	2.22	17.4	18.5	-1.07
Jonas Valanciunas	46	48	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.02	-23	22	-45	17.0	14.2	2.77	18.0	16.9	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0,0,0	95.0%
MEM 102, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	94.5%
CHI 103, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	93.9%