NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	6.1 [600]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +33.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.4 [364]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -8.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.25	0.10	0.01	10	96%	0.36	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.12	0.01	21	61%	0.27	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Aaron Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	13	61%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.04	18	49%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.3	29.5	17.4	23.3	2.6	42.5	138.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +66.0%

CHI +3.9%

MEM -3.0%

MEM -18.2%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.1	109.6	104.3	104.2
season	15.5	15.9		105.4	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.8	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	13.6	16.4	15.4	15.7
MEM	16.2	15.9	14.9	13.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	64	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	15.7	15.7	0.05	15.3	14.5	0.78
Aaron Brooks	66	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	14.6	18.4	-3.74	14.0	17.5	-3.43
Nikola Mirotic	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	15.4	16.4	-0.97	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Jimmy Butler	82	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	5	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.2	14.4	0.79
Joakim Noah	64	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	16.3	14.5	1.86	15.3	14.5	0.82
Pau Gasol	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	5	-4	16.7	14.2	2.49	15.8	13.9	1.87
Tony Snell	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-1	8	13.8	16.0	-2.19	15.4	15.0	0.37
Mike Dunleavy	57	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	9	-12	17.5	13.0	4.46	15.7	14.2	1.53
E'Twaun Moore	5	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	1.4	16.5	-15.14	8.0	15.6	-7.55

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-16	26	14.8	15.5	-0.63	16.1	15.1	0.96
Nick Calathes	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-8	10	12.0	15.7	-3.70	12.9	16.3	-3.45
Beno Udrih	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.2	16.1	-0.84
Quincy Pondexter	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.34	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Zach Randolph	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-5	4	16.5	14.0	2.54	17.7	14.3	3.35
Tayshaun Prince	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	16.6	13.8	2.79	17.3	14.4	2.89
Marc Gasol	56	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-7	8	15.1	14.9	0.20	15.9	15.4	0.51
Jon Leuer	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.4	-0.77	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Kosta Koufos	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	2	-10	15.2	15.0	0.26	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Mike Conley	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.5	14.3	1.23	15.9	15.4	0.52
Vince Carter	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	3	-12	14.1	16.0	-1.85	14.2	17.3	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.04,0	94.6%
MEM 102, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	94.5%
ORL 103, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0,0,0	94.4%