inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 127 Excitement11.5 [28] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +53.5%
San Antonio Spurs 129 Comeback3332.3 [3] LVPCarl Landry (GSW): -15.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0.440,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.440.020.420.001100%0.4400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.190,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.190.060.12-0.011468%0.253-0.0500%0.00
Jarrett Jack0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18-0.080.20-0.071542%0.303-0.12683%-0.04
Klay Thompson0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.001558%0.132-0.053100%0.01
Festus Ezeli0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01750%0.022-0.06633%-0.06
Draymond Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.07-0.03856%0.142-0.172100%0.04
Stephen Curry-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.070.10-0.21-0.033561%0.006-0.082100%0.02
Carl Landry-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.02-0.140.00562%0.033-0.1830%-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.530.530.140.420.031479%0.592-0.0600%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,0.290.29-0.140.41-0.022036%0.494-0.20580%-0.01
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.130.041167%0.211-0.02560%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.010.14-0.01470%0.322-0.162100%0.05
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.002125%0.0700.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.00-0.03950%0.0600.002100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.011550%0.052-0.05887%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.020.010.042648%0.033-0.076100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game26.42.834.218.529.23.537.53.413.52.720.7192.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.9%
SAS +16.4%
GSW -14.9%
SAS +13.6%
GSW -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.215.015.4105.8109.3104.1
season14.615.2104.6106.4
opponent15.115.399.5103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW11.513.214.417.215.314.2
SAS15.816.214.412.816.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson65670.39-0.891.28-0.0214-163013.315.3-1.9215.913.92.06
Carl Landry27280.26-0.761.020.173-5814.214.2-0.0415.714.80.85
Festus Ezeli29270.25-0.750.99-0.029-112012.014.9-2.8814.315.3-1.00
Draymond Green7877-0.12-0.380.260.08-75-1215.212.52.6814.615.9-1.29
Andrew Bogut6664-0.13-0.370.24-0.285-71213.814.7-0.9215.814.11.70
Harrison Barnes107106-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-31-414.412.91.4515.114.70.32
Stephen Curry119118-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.480-2214.34.010.3015.00.015.03
Kent Bazemore65-0.540.04-0.58-0.39-53-88.014.5-6.5412.415.2-2.75
Jarrett Jack8683-0.810.31-1.12-0.46-1210-2214.812.81.9814.616.1-1.50
Richard Jefferson86-0.850.35-1.21-0.44-1412-2615.414.11.249.315.3-6.01

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili75771.07-0.571.650.5817-153213.817.2-3.3914.513.60.92
Boris Diaw54550.94-0.441.380.5613-112414.215.7-1.4614.214.3-0.10
Tony Parker98970.65-0.150.790.3211-92015.214.30.8814.214.3-0.11
Danny Green88900.50-0.000.500.79-1012-2215.414.01.3914.513.31.27
Kawhi Leonard73720.230.27-0.030.124-2614.815.5-0.7015.112.92.13
DeJuan Blair1211-0.000.50-0.500.03-13-415.515.00.5213.114.3-1.24
Cory Joseph2023-0.230.73-0.950.04-911-2014.315.2-0.8814.314.20.11
Matt Bonner3838-0.310.81-1.13-0.25-24-615.314.90.3814.214.2-0.05
Gary Neal5456-0.370.87-1.25-0.35-13-415.414.70.6913.415.0-1.58
Tim Duncan6871-0.480.98-1.46-0.07-1416-3016.113.62.5613.615.1-1.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.46,0.19,0.21,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.69,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 98, BOS 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.91,186.9%
NYK 99, HOU 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,086.0%
TOR 103, WAS 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,086.0%