inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 98 Excitement10.8 [39] MVPTony Battie (BOS): +14.0%
Boston Celtics 105 Comeback25.8 [65] LVPShareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -58.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dion Glover0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00456%0.0300.001100%0.01
Emanual Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Chris Crawford-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01855%0.002-0.05667%-0.02
Alan Henderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Darvin Ham-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Ira Newble-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001146%-0.002-0.06250%-0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.300,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.05-0.230.022648%-0.204-0.1000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.300,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3-0.02-0.260.021945%-0.281-0.024100%0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.580,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.49,-0.49,-0.63,-0.63,-0.56,-0.56,-0.58,-0.58-0.15-0.46-0.032045%-0.375-0.21989%0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.080.001264%0.161-0.024100%0.08
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.030.030.000.040.01743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00650%0.013-0.07250%-0.01
Eric Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01533%-0.043-0.082100%0.01
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.050.001129%-0.101-0.04250%-0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.15-0.140.023041%-0.164-0.15683%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.28,-0.39,-0.7,-0.7,-0.63,-0.55,-0.57,-0.57-0.57-0.07-0.49-0.003449%-0.205-0.36667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game27.22.728.315.330.42.530.41.815.01.512.1167.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.21.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +48.4%
BOS +3.5%
BOS +18.0%
ATL -22.3%
BOS +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLBOSNBAATLBOSNBA
this game14.916.115.587.592.9101.6
season15.115.699.599.3
opponent15.515.799.9103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL13.114.413.318.416.814.8
BOS15.114.417.415.916.615.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Glover14140.25-0.751.010.028-152314.315.0-0.6718.615.72.87
Alan Henderson26280.13-0.630.760.072-91113.715.2-1.4915.116.4-1.21
Darvin Ham16160.06-0.560.610.09-1-6514.914.9-0.0014.916.2-1.37
Emanual Davis17170.04-0.540.580.10-2-5316.414.61.8115.216.2-1.03
Chris Crawford2023-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-6512.915.3-2.3413.716.6-2.91
Ira Newble8991-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-81-914.914.70.1715.319.1-3.83
Glenn Robinson9290-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.32-6-1-515.312.92.3416.613.72.91
Shareef Abdur-Rahim9294-0.530.03-0.57-0.42-4-3-114.715.8-1.1316.215.21.01
Jason Terry9596-0.540.04-0.58-0.39-5-2-314.616.4-1.8116.215.21.03
Theo Ratliff9088-0.660.16-0.81-0.33-114-1515.412.72.7316.414.91.46

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie80810.87-0.371.240.2820-133316.514.91.6215.513.12.41
Paul Pierce1021010.81-0.311.130.3217-102715.620.2-4.5715.013.51.58
Antoine Walker1031030.64-0.140.790.2912-51716.214.71.4815.310.15.18
Tony Delk61640.320.180.150.47-512-1718.113.64.4814.615.2-0.66
Walter McCarty60560.230.27-0.050.0561515.117.1-1.9615.214.50.75
Shammond Williams5352-0.110.61-0.71-0.2034-114.417.5-3.0514.715.1-0.41
Vin Baker3331-0.370.87-1.240.01-1320-3314.916.5-1.6213.115.5-2.41
Eric Williams5555-0.400.90-1.30-0.05-1219-3116.215.90.3213.616.1-2.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 106, LAL 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.15,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.59,0.5,0.39,0.71,0.57,0.58,188.3%
GSW 127, SAS 1290.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.46,0.19,0.21,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.69,0.92,186.9%
CLE 94, IND 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,186.0%