NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	7.1 [383]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +39.1%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	2.0 [675]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.08	0.01	10	86%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chris Copeland	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	56%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	15	43%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.02,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	0.11	-0.24	0.03	29	59%	0.08	3	-0.24	8	100%	0.05
Raymond Felton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	7	12%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.20	0.19	-0.01	13	74%	0.39	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.07
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	12	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	2	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.5	39.2	17.4	27.9	3.7	41.5	161.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +21.7%

IND +16.9%

NYK -11.6%

IND +21.0%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.4	111.2	121.8	104.1
season	16.2	16.1		107.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	17.1	15.9	16.1	16.3
IND	15.8	14.9	17.6	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	41	39	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-16	25	15.0	17.5	-2.48	16.6	16.2	0.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	12	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	16.5	16.3	0.19	17.2	16.3	0.91
Jason Kidd	13	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.12	17.1	16.3	0.80
Pablo Prigioni	56	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-6	5	16.8	15.5	1.35	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Chris Copeland	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	16.3	16.4	-0.04	16.8	16.1	0.66
Iman Shumpert	45	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-5	3	15.8	16.9	-1.18	16.6	16.1	0.54
Raymond Felton	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	16.3	16.4	-0.15	16.0	17.2	-1.15
J.R. Smith	68	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-7	7	15.7	18.5	-2.80	16.2	16.9	-0.63
Carmelo Anthony	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	1	-9	17.1	12.2	4.90	16.3	17.2	-0.90
Tyson Chandler	40	40	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	9	-25	17.8	15.2	2.61	16.4	16.4	0.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	70	71	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-5	17	16.3	16.6	-0.32	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Lance Stephenson	44	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-1	9	15.6	17.2	-1.62	16.2	16.5	-0.29
George Hill	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	16.4	16.5	-0.18	16.9	13.2	3.73
Roy Hibbert	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	16.6	15.2	1.36	17.2	11.4	5.80
Paul George	82	84	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	4	-1	16.3	18.0	-1.71	16.6	12.4	4.17
Sam Young	17	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	15.4	16.6	-1.29	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Ian Mahinmi	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	15.9	16.4	-0.57	12.4	16.8	-4.33
D.J. Augustin	24	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	5	-3	17.1	16.1	0.96	14.4	17.1	-2.70
Tyler Hansbrough	19	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	17.1	16.2	0.91	16.3	16.3	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.84,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	93.2%
BKN 103, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	92.2%
WAS 80, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	92.0%