NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +61.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.6 [949]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): -11.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.29,0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	5	82%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	14	50%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	13	69%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	7	43%	-0.06
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	10	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.39,0.62	0.62	0.10	0.50	-0.01	17	60%	0.64	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	18	51%	0.00	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.04
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.0	38.2	18.6	31.4	3.6	44.8	166.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.1%

MEM -7.8%

MEM -9.8%

LAC +5.7%

LAC +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.4	100.0	98.9	104.1
season	16.5	15.6		102.9	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	17.9	15.0	13.6	15.3
LAC	16.4	14.2	16.3	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	18.6	15.0	3.55	10.1	16.3	-6.14
Ed Davis	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	21.7	14.8	6.82	11.0	16.2	-5.16
Tayshaun Prince	72	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-9	16	14.6	17.9	-3.35	17.3	11.1	6.19
Jerryd Bayless	19	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	18.5	14.4	4.08	10.9	17.4	-6.57
Zach Randolph	57	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-3	4	16.0	14.2	1.79	16.5	14.6	1.85
Marc Gasol	82	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.45	8	-10	18	14.5	22.3	-7.81	16.4	10.7	5.71
Tony Allen	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.4	18.5	-4.08	17.4	10.9	6.57
Quincy Pondexter	21	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	6	-14	17.9	14.5	3.39	10.4	17.9	-7.47
Mike Conley	82	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-5	8	15.0	18.3	-3.37	16.7	8.6	8.09
Darrell Arthur	37	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.38	-11	9	-20	14.9	15.5	-0.59	14.3	16.8	-2.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	47	41	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.47	15	-13	28	13.0	18.7	-5.66	15.7	14.9	0.79
Jamal Crawford	67	65	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-11	24	14.6	18.9	-4.24	15.4	15.0	0.42
Ronny Turiaf	31	27	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-4	10	12.1	17.7	-5.57	16.7	14.7	2.00
Chris Paul	66	67	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	6	-10	17.5	11.9	5.66	14.3	18.0	-3.73
Eric Bledsoe	31	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	11.7	17.9	-6.20	17.3	14.5	2.84
Ryan Hollins	7	7	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-3	8	9.1	16.4	-7.22	17.0	15.2	1.85
Blake Griffin	62	64	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	8	-14	17.9	11.9	6.00	14.4	17.5	-3.16
Lamar Odom	39	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	3	-4	14.1	17.1	-3.00	15.6	15.1	0.47
DeAndre Jordan	41	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	6	-10	18.7	13.6	5.15	15.7	14.9	0.82
Chauncey Billups	42	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	13	-24	18.7	13.5	5.17	14.7	15.8	-1.16
Caron Butler	37	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	10	-18	18.5	14.1	4.34	15.1	15.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.71,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.85,1	93.7%
CLE 108, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.63,1	92.6%
PHI 91, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	92.5%