NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.2 [394]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +24.9%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	2.1 [1099]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -22.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	14	69%	0.25	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	8	68%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	17	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	9	43%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.04
Lou Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	24%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	10	20%	-0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	14	71%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.03	0.12	-0.02	13	52%	0.17	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.03	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.10	0.01	0	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.11	0.02	16	52%	0.16	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.13
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	0.04	25	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.0	30.6	17.8	23.5	4.3	41.6	145.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +12.9%

MIA +38.1%

MIA +13.2%

PHI -2.9%

PHI -11.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.4	15.5	105.8	112.8	105.7
season	15.5	16.0		104.6	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	16.4	18.4	13.4	16.0
MIA	16.8	16.4	15.9	20.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	11.1	16.7	-5.60	15.0	17.8	-2.80
Spencer Hawes	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-4	2	16.6	15.5	1.11	17.4	17.5	-0.16
Jrue Holiday	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-9	12	16.7	14.0	2.60	17.6	16.9	0.77
Elton Brand	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-9	12	17.2	12.8	4.34	18.2	15.1	3.16
Andre Iguodala	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-13	20	15.5	17.5	-1.96	18.3	14.9	3.46
Evan Turner	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	2	-10	16.0	16.1	-0.01	18.2	16.4	1.77
Jodie Meeks	44	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	5	-16	16.2	15.9	0.23	15.7	19.0	-3.31
Lou Williams	38	39	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	5	-16	15.6	16.4	-0.74	16.5	18.2	-1.65
Thaddeus Young	52	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	6	-18	15.3	17.2	-1.97	17.0	18.1	-1.05

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	69	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-11	28	17.2	18.5	-1.36	16.2	15.2	1.03
Mario Chalmers	56	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-13	32	15.7	20.8	-5.11	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Dwyane Wade	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	17.7	16.0	1.70	16.7	11.9	4.80
James Jones	47	46	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	18.4	16.3	2.17	15.7	16.4	-0.75
LeBron James	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	1	4	17.8	15.2	2.60	16.4	14.2	2.14
Eddie House	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	5	-4	16.2	17.8	-1.61	12.9	16.8	-3.94
Chris Bosh	72	72	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	13	-20	18.0	14.6	3.34	16.0	16.1	-0.03
Juwan Howard	4	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	17.5	17.4	0.06	12.0	16.2	-4.19
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	9	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	15	-24	17.9	17.4	0.50	16.1	16.0	0.09
Mike Bibby	9	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	15	-24	17.9	17.4	0.50	16.1	16.0	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.71,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,1	92.6%
MEM 91, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.71,1	92.5%
DET 91, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,1	92.1%