NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	95		Excitement	8.5 [188]		MVP	Andray Blatche (BKN): +14.4%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.1 [742]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -21.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14	-0.00	0.12	-0.02	8	45%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.03	13	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	18	42%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	53%	0.07	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	49%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	21	49%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.12	0.00	15	58%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	16	40%	-0.05	4	-0.17	3	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.4	32.5	17.7	31.2	0.1	45.6	155.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.0%

BKN +13.3%

CHI -14.2%

BKN +16.2%

BKN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.4	102.2	94.8	104.1
season	16.5	16.6		106.5	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.3	14.0	14.1	15.4	14.7
CHI	16.7	14.3	16.5	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	71	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-1	5	14.9	13.9	1.07	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Andray Blatche	37	39	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-4	11	13.1	15.7	-2.61	16.0	15.4	0.64
CJ Watson	39	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-5	13	13.9	15.2	-1.25	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Gerald Wallace	69	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	-1	5	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.9	15.0	0.90
Joe Johnson	73	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	3	-3	15.1	13.2	1.88	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Deron Williams	81	84	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.43	-6	9	-15	14.9	13.4	1.45	15.5	16.1	-0.53
MarShon Brooks	17	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	13.7	14.9	-1.19	15.9	15.5	0.40
Reggie Evans	56	58	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	7	-11	15.7	13.1	2.61	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Kris Humphries	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	13.9	14.9	-1.07	15.8	15.6	0.22

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	34	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-4	5	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.1	14.4	0.74
Marquis Teague	12	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	14.9	15.7	-0.80	9.7	15.3	-5.58
Nazr Mohammed	7	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.7	15.8	-2.05	7.7	15.2	-7.49
Richard Hamilton	9	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	3	-9	14.6	15.7	-1.17	9.7	15.1	-5.37
Nate Robinson	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.8	14.6	1.19	15.4	10.1	5.35
Carlos Boozer	65	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	15.9	15.1	0.83	15.0	13.9	1.15
Marco Belinelli	92	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.0	8.5	6.46
Joakim Noah	88	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.6	15.3	0.31	14.7	14.4	0.31
Jimmy Butler	97	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.6	0.0	15.62	14.7	0.0	14.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 130, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.11,0.01,0	93.1%
SAC 91, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	92.5%
CHI 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.5%