NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	4.6 [904]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +16.4%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	2.1 [135]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -19.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.03	16	53%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	7	89%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.09	8	82%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.02	-0.06	19	42%	0.08	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	19	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	24	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.05	0.09	14	41%	-0.14	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.4	30.5	18.6	27.2	3.3	38.6	148.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +60.9%

NYK -0.7%

BOS +6.6%

NYK -18.1%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.4	101.1	95.6	104.1
season	14.9	16.2		101.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	17.6	18.1	15.4	15.9
NYK	17.0	19.3	14.0	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-7	20	16.1	15.5	0.62	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Paul Pierce	86	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	15.6	20.6	-4.96	15.6	20.5	-4.92
Brandon Bass	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	15.7	17.0	-1.27	15.5	18.8	-3.37
Jeff Green	81	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	15.3	21.1	-5.83	16.0	15.6	0.40
Terrence Williams	28	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	-2	10	17.9	15.0	2.91	17.1	15.3	1.83
Kevin Garnett	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	7	-8	15.9	16.1	-0.25	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Avery Bradley	41	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	7	-8	16.5	15.4	1.14	17.2	14.9	2.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	25	23	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.13	9	-15	24	16.7	15.6	1.06	16.4	15.7	0.64
Steve Novak	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-4	2	22.7	15.6	7.16	19.7	15.7	4.01
Marcus Camby	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.9	-0.42	13.0	16.0	-2.98
Tyson Chandler	64	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-14	22	15.5	16.8	-1.31	15.8	16.1	-0.23
Iman Shumpert	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-9	12	16.1	15.6	0.56	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Kenyon Martin	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	7	-20	17.0	15.5	1.43	16.3	15.8	0.57
J.R. Smith	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	2	-10	16.0	15.6	0.41	16.5	14.3	2.20
Carmelo Anthony	86	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	15.6	22.7	-7.16	15.7	19.7	-4.01
Jason Kidd	39	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	8	-22	15.6	16.1	-0.48	16.0	15.8	0.25
Raymond Felton	84	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.6	20.5	-4.92	15.6	20.6	-4.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0	94.8%
LAL 99, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
HOU 101, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%