NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	98		Excitement	6.7 [498]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (BKN): +11.2%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.8 [109]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -13.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	16	66%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Thomas Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.02	21	61%	0.19	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	8	46%	-0.01	4	-0.08	10	40%	-0.07
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	5	60%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	14	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.7	14.8	23.4	2.5	43.4	138.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +64.2%

UTA -11.3%

UTA -13.0%

BKN +9.8%

BKN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	UTA	NBA	BKN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	14.9	95.1	93.2	105.1
season	15.0	16.3		101.9	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.4	15.5	13.6	13.6	13.8
UTA	13.7	13.9	17.1	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	42	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-10	22	14.9	13.0	1.86	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Shane Larkin	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	-3	8	14.8	12.9	1.81	13.0	15.1	-2.06
Wayne Ellington	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	5	-8	13.0	16.1	-3.12	14.4	13.6	0.74
Thaddeus Young	79	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	8	-14	13.2	15.6	-2.38	14.4	13.6	0.75
Thomas Robinson	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-9	20	15.6	12.9	2.71	13.5	14.5	-0.98
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	5	-8	13.5	14.5	-1.01	14.6	13.3	1.32
Donald Sloan	57	59	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	5	-8	12.9	14.8	-1.81	15.1	13.0	2.06
Willie Reed	19	20	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-4	10	15.1	13.5	1.65	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Markel Brown	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	4	-6	12.9	14.3	-1.34	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	9	-16	14.3	13.3	0.97	14.0	14.4	-0.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-7	12	11.3	15.2	-3.94	12.6	14.1	-1.53
Raul Neto	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	15.0	13.9	1.06	14.7	13.4	1.27
Trey Lyles	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	13.3	14.3	-1.00	17.2	13.4	3.80
Rudy Gobert	75	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-7	12	14.8	12.7	2.09	13.8	13.7	0.02
Shelvin Mack	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-5	8	14.1	14.3	-0.27	13.6	13.9	-0.26
Gordon Hayward	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-10	18	14.2	14.3	-0.14	14.0	13.1	0.93
Trey Burke	13	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	5	-12	14.8	14.1	0.74	13.6	13.8	-0.13
Trevor Booker	49	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	3	-8	14.1	14.3	-0.27	13.0	14.5	-1.42
Derrick Favors	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-1	0	14.0	14.5	-0.50	14.0	13.2	0.82
Rodney Hood	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	14.9	12.3	2.54	13.7	13.8	-0.12
Joe Ingles	38	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	10	-22	14.0	14.3	-0.28	13.3	14.0	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.0%
BOS 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.02,0	94.8%
DET 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%